Result
82:76
22/08/2025 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AFL - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Goals |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Behinds |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Kicks |
|---|
| 232 | 228 |
| Handballs |
|---|
| 115 | 168 |
| Disposals |
|---|
| 347 | 396 |
| Frees For |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Frees Against |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 26 | 38 |
| Marks |
|---|
| 123 | 110 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50 | 40 |
| Hitouts |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Quarter (19 - 18)
- 02:30, Daicos J. (Behind),
- 04:40, Schultz L. (G),
- 06:16, Maynard B. (G),
- 08:07, Gawn M. (G),
- 11:23, Crisp J. (Behind),
- 15:18, Lipinski P. (Behind),
- 16:46, Pickett K. (G),
- 20:07, Elliott J. (Behind),
- 23:18, Schultz L. (Behind),
- 26:15, Houston D. (Behind),
- 27:59, Van Rooyen J. (G),
- 29:52, Schultz L. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (27 - 15)
- 03:30, Mihocek B. (G),
- 05:36, (Behind Rushed),
- 07:29, Fritsch B. (G),
- 11:38, Melksham J. (G),
- 12:49, McStay D. (Behind),
- 14:44, Elliott J. (G),
- 16:21, Mihocek B. (Behind),
- 16:52, Melksham J. (Behind),
- 18:13, De Goey J. (G),
- 22:03, Elliott J. (Behind),
- 24:21, Sidebottom S. (G),
- 31:44, Oliver C. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (9 - 32)
- 08:29, Melksham J. (Behind),
- 09:58, Membrey T. (Behind),
- 11:24, Pickett K. (G),
- 12:58, Langford H. (G),
- 15:12, Fritsch B. (G),
- 16:25, Rivers T. (Behind),
- 18:22, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:52, Fritsch B. (G),
- 24:34, Crisp J. (G),
- 27:07, Melksham J. (G),
- 29:51, Lipinski P. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (27 - 11)
- 02:21, (Behind Rushed),
- 03:40, Petracca C. (G),
- 07:57, Schultz L. (Behind),
- 12:29, Long N. (G),
- 14:04, (Behind Rushed),
- 14:52, Rivers T. (Behind),
- 15:43, Elliott J. (G),
- 17:19, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
- 19:30, Schultz L. (G),
- 21:15, Pickett K. (Behind),
- 22:06, McCreery B. (Behind),
- 23:16, McStay D. (G),
- 26:52, Petracca C. (Behind),
Chances of winning
Collingwood Magpies
73.5% | Melbourne Demons
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collingwood Magpies that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Demons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.38) |
|
3.4 ↑
(3.1) |
8.1%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 163.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-23)
What is the prediction for Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Collingwood (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Melbourne Demons will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:71.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 4.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Collingwood is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1660:1443. (average 83:72.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 549:493. (average 78.4:70.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Collingwood Magpies won against Melbourne Demons?
Collingwood Magpies has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Demons won against Collingwood Magpies?
Melbourne Demons has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons were as follows:
09.06.2025
Melbourne Demons
-
Collingwood Magpies
71:72
23.08.2024
Melbourne Demons
-
Collingwood Magpies
57:103
10.06.2024
Collingwood Magpies
-
Melbourne Demons
89:51
07.09.2023
Collingwood Magpies
-
Melbourne Demons
60:53
12.06.2023
Melbourne Demons
-
Collingwood Magpies
66:62
Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
Latest results of Melbourne Demons
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Adelaide Crows (1) | Collingwood Magpies (4) | 55 : 79 |
| 3 | Brisbane Lions | Bye | |
| 4 | Fremantle Dockers (6) | Gold Coast Suns (7) | 79 : 80 |
| 5 | Geelong Cats (2) | Brisbane Lions (3) | 112 : 74 |
| 7 | Adelaide Crows | Bye | |
| 8 | GWS Giants (5) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 88 : 107 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Collingwood Magpies (4) | Bye | |
| 2 | Brisbane Lions (3) | Gold Coast Suns (7) | 100 : 47 |
| 3 | Geelong Cats (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Adelaide Crows (1) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 67 : 101 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Collingwood Magpies (4) | Brisbane Lions (3) | |
| 2 | Geelong Cats (2) | Hawthorn Hawks (8) | 115 : 85 |
Final
