Melbourne Demons vs Western Bulldogs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
99:105
10/08/2025 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Sports 503
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1

Match Stats

Goals
1515
Behinds
915
Kicks
215225
Handballs
164163
Disposals
379388
Frees For
1316
Frees Against
1613
Clearances Completed
3146
Marks
86104
Tackles
5249
Hitouts
5230

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (22 - 24)
  • 02:16, Richards E. (Behind),
  • 03:20, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
  • 05:22, Naughton A. (G),
  • 07:00, Liberatore T. (Behind),
  • 08:42, Naughton A. (Behind),
  • 10:38, Fritsch B. (Behind),
  • 11:49, English T. (Behind),
  • 14:13, Darcy S. (G),
  • 15:56, Kennedy M. (Behind),
  • 17:51, Melksham J. (G),
  • 19:13, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 19:58, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 21:53, Van Rooyen J. (G),
  • 26:01, Bramble L. (G),
  • 27:39, Freijah J. (Behind),
  • 28:47, Culley J. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (8 - 16)
  • 03:37, Naughton A. (G),
  • 04:46, Fritsch B. (Behind),
  • 07:47, Vandermeer L. (Behind),
  • 09:27, Freijah J. (Behind),
  • 10:28, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 12:32, McNeil L. (G),
  • 14:42, Poulter C. (Behind),
  • 18:51, Lobb R. (Behind),
  • 28:36, Petty H. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (45 - 25)
  • 00:49, Naughton A. (G),
  • 03:04, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
  • 04:31, Naughton A. (G),
  • 07:53, Chandler K. (G),
  • 10:01, English T. (Behind),
  • 10:42, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 12:47, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:30, Fritsch B. (Behind),
  • 14:10, Williams B. (G),
  • 18:05, Pickett K. (G),
  • 20:19, Petty H. (G),
  • 22:46, Melksham J. (G),
  • 25:01, Darcy S. (G),
  • 30:53, Gawn M. (G),
  • 32:52, Petracca C. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (24 - 40)
  • 01:57, (Behind Rushed),
  • 03:06, Cleary L. (G),
  • 05:27, Richards E. (G),
  • 06:52, (Behind Rushed),
  • 08:22, Petty H. (G),
  • 11:51, Richards E. (G),
  • 13:27, Garcia R. (G),
  • 14:59, Langford H. (G),
  • 19:20, Howes B. (G),
  • 21:16, West R. (G),
  • 22:39, Naughton A. (G),
  • 24:38, (Behind Rushed),
  • 30:55, Freijah J. (Behind),
  • 32:06, Turner D. (G),

Chances of winning


Melbourne Demons
25.7%
Western Bulldogs
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 67.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Western Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Demons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Western Bulldogs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne Demons - Western Bulldogs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.56
    (3.51)

    1.27
    (1.31)
    7%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 176.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-25)
    What is the prediction for Melbourne Demons - Western Bulldogs?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Western will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 76:101.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Western may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Western is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1762:1605. (average 88.1:80.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 830:598. (average 103.8:74.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Demons - Western Bulldogs were as follows:
    02.08.2024 Western Bulldogs - Melbourne Demons 110:59
    16.03.2024 Melbourne Demons - Western Bulldogs 109:64
    18.03.2023 Melbourne Demons - Western Bulldogs 115:65
    Latest results of Melbourne Demons
    Latest results of Western Bulldogs
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans5401581:331175.5316
    2Fremantle Dockers5401444:338131.3616
    3Hawthorn Hawks5401535:442121.0416
    4Western Bulldogs5401502:416120.6716
    5Gold Coast Suns5302541:410131.9512
    6Brisbane Lions5302490:426115.0212
    7North Melbourne5302450:425105.8812
    8Geelong Cats5302460:453101.5512
    9Melbourne Demons5302467:50492.6612
    10Port Adelaide Power5203447:404110.648
    11Adelaide Crows5203431:405106.428
    12GWS Giants5203434:46992.548
    13Collingwood Magpies5203348:37792.318
    14St Kilda Saints5203412:45291.158
    15West Coast Eagles5203386:60064.338
    16Carlton Blues5104393:51376.614
    17Essendon Bombers5104400:52676.054
    18Richmond Tigers5005297:52756.360

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