Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Aussie rules AFL
Result
90:77
06/07/2025 at 01:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy, Fox Sports 503
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 2

Match Stats

Goals
1311
Behinds
1211
Kicks
199221
Handballs
125168
Disposals
324389
Frees For
1516
Frees Against
1615
Clearances Completed
3327
Marks
82111
Tackles
4952
Hitouts
3830

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (15 - 12)
  • 01:32, Fogarty D. (Behind),
  • 02:53, Petracca C. (Behind),
  • 06:24, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 07:36, Rivers T. (Behind),
  • 08:20, Rivers T. (G),
  • 14:16, Langdon E. (Behind),
  • 15:35, Rankine I. (G),
  • 17:42, (Behind Rushed),
  • 18:52, Walker T. (G),
  • 20:34, Melksham J. (Behind),
  • 23:32, (Behind Rushed),
  • 27:39, Petracca C. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (23 - 31)
  • 01:33, Petracca C. (Behind),
  • 01:47, Pickett K. (G),
  • 04:21, Van Rooyen J. (G),
  • 07:34, Van Rooyen J. (G),
  • 09:39, Melksham J. (G),
  • 11:50, Pickett K. (G),
  • 14:28, Rankine I. (G),
  • 18:42, Rankine I. (G),
  • 20:26, Walker T. (Behind),
  • 27:02, Walker T. (G),
  • 28:20, Thiltorpe R. (Behind),
  • 30:06, Rachele J. (Behind),
  • 31:10, (Behind Rushed),
  • 34:00, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (33 - 13)
  • 00:48, Keays B. (G),
  • 06:44, Rankine I. (G),
  • 09:45, Keays B. (Behind),
  • 10:25, Fritsch B. (Behind),
  • 14:27, (Behind Rushed),
  • 16:57, Rankine I. (G),
  • 18:38, Melksham J. (G),
  • 20:34, Taylor Z. (G),
  • 24:00, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 27:46, Melksham J. (G),
  • 31:22, Fogarty D. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (19 - 21)
  • 02:12, Melksham J. (G),
  • 04:13, Fogarty D. (G),
  • 06:33, Sparrow T. (G),
  • 10:15, Curtin D. (G),
  • 14:55, Keays B. (G),
  • 18:09, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 21:50, Rankine I. (Behind),
  • 22:51, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 27:19, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 29:24, Fritsch B. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Adelaide Crows
77.9%		Melbourne Demons
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
75.7% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Adelaide Crows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
    •

    Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.2 ↓
    (1.26)
    		4.11 ↑
    (3.91)    		 7.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 170.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-28)
    What is the prediction for Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -68.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -69.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -70.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -60.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -61.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -62.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -63.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -64.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -65.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -66.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -67.5 Points, OT - Melbourne (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +5.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +6.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +7.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +8.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +9.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +10.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +11.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +12.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +13.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +14.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +15.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +16.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -62.5 Points - Melbourne (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -63.5 Points - Melbourne (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -64.5 Points - Melbourne (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -65.5 Points - Melbourne (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -66.5 Points - Melbourne (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -67.5 Points - Melbourne (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -68.5 Points - Melbourne (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -69.5 Points - Melbourne (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -70.5 Points - Melbourne (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -71.5 Points - Melbourne (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -72.5 Points - Melbourne (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -73.5 Points - Melbourne (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -74.5 Points - Melbourne (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -75.5 Points - Melbourne (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -76.5 Points - Melbourne (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 Points, OT - Adelaide (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Points - Adelaide (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5 Points - Adelaide (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +3.5 Points - Adelaide (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4.5 Points - Adelaide (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +5.5 Points - Adelaide (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +6.5 Points - Adelaide (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +7.5 Points - Adelaide (1.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +8.5 Points - Adelaide (1.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +9.5 Points - Adelaide (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +10.5 Points - Adelaide (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +11.5 Points - Adelaide (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +12.5 Points - Adelaide (1.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +13.5 Points - Adelaide (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +14.5 Points - Adelaide (1.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +15.5 Points - Adelaide (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +16.5 Points - Adelaide (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +17.5 Points - Adelaide (1.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -60.5 Points - Melbourne (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -61.5 Points - Melbourne (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Adelaide Crows will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 67 Selected Experts predict this event. Adelaide (votes: 39 - 58.2%). Melbourne (votes: 28 - 41.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 99:71.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 1.
    • Adelaide is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Melbourne has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Adelaide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Adelaide is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1428:1516. (average 84:89.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 671:729. (average 74.6:81).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons were as follows:
    04.04.2024 Adelaide Crows - Melbourne Demons 63:78
    23.07.2023 Melbourne Demons - Adelaide Crows 97:93
    Latest results of Adelaide Crows
    29.06.2025 Richmond Tigers - Adelaide Crows 54:122 ✺
    13.06.2025 Hawthorn Hawks - Adelaide Crows 47:44 ✺
    06.06.2025 Adelaide Crows - Brisbane Lions 68:63
    31.05.2025 Sydney Swans - Adelaide Crows 41:131 ✺
    24.05.2025 Adelaide Crows - West Coast Eagles 128:62
    Latest results of Melbourne Demons
    15.06.2025 Port Adelaide Power - Melbourne Demons 93:68
    09.06.2025 Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies 71:72 ✺
    01.06.2025 Melbourne Demons - St Kilda Saints 63:91
    25.05.2025 Melbourne Demons - Sydney Swans 131:78 ✺
    18.05.2025 Brisbane Lions - Melbourne Demons 88:99 ✺
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans8701945:571165.5028
    2Fremantle Dockers8701758:570132.9828
    3Hawthorn Hawks8611829:684121.2026
    4Brisbane Lions8503862:684126.0220
    5Gold Coast Suns8503806:695115.9720
    6Geelong Cats8503791:690114.6420
    7Melbourne Demons8503811:809100.2520
    8Collingwood Magpies8413666:613108.6518
    9St Kilda Saints8404765:666114.8616
    10North Melbourne8404764:720106.1116
    11Adelaide Crows8404685:70996.6116
    12Western Bulldogs8404720:78791.4916
    13Port Adelaide Power8305703:634110.8812
    14GWS Giants8305668:75788.2412
    15West Coast Eagles8206557:93959.328
    16Carlton Blues8107634:81278.084
    17Essendon Bombers8107649:92570.164
    18Richmond Tigers8107523:87160.054

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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