Perth Thunder vs Melbourne Ice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:6
12/07/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AIHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAIHL TV

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 11:35, 0 - 1, Bronte T. (G), Erdugan J. (A), Aonso J. (A2)
  • 16:10, 1 - 1, Plouffe F. (G), Auvinen H. (A), Hrehorcak P. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 3)
  • 02:23, 1 - 2, Adkins J. (G), Erdugan J. (A), Aonso J. (A2)
  • 05:23, 1 - 3, Hodge L. (G), Bronte T. (A),
  • 12:48, 1 - 4, Adkins J. (G), Bronte T. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 01:05, 1 - 5, Bronte T. (G), Erdugan J. (A), Despres S. (A2)
  • 15:16, 2 - 5, Langille R. (G), Webster K. (A), Tenosalmi V. (A2)
  • 17:35, 2 - 6, Caruana M. (G), Shindle K. (A),

Chances of winning


Perth Thunder
48.1%
Draw
17.4%
Melbourne Ice
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 16.5% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 17.8% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perth Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Perth Thunder's form might have worsened.
  • Melbourne Ice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Ice's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Thunder than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Ice than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Perth Thunder - Melbourne Ice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.69)
    5.23
    (5.63)
    2.64
    (3.27)
    9.9%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 10.25
    What is the prediction for Perth Thunder - Melbourne Ice?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5, OT - Melbourne Ice (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Ice (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perth won 3.
    • Perth is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Melbourne Ice's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Perth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Melbourne Ice has had a series of away games.
    • Perth might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Perth won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 100:84. (average 5:4.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Perth won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:40. (average 4.1:4.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Perth Thunder - Melbourne Ice were as follows:
    11.07.2026 Perth Thunder - Melbourne Ice 4:3
    24.05.2026 Melbourne Ice - Perth Thunder 3:10
    23.05.2026 Melbourne Ice - Perth Thunder 3:8
    14.06.2025 Melbourne Ice - Perth Thunder 6:2
    24.05.2025 Melbourne Ice - Perth Thunder 9:8
    Latest results of Perth Thunder
    Latest results of Melbourne Ice
    Australian Ice Hockey League Table
    2026
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Newcastle2114106118:8144
    2Perth2112324106:7344
    3Melbourne Mustangs2313109125:9841
    4CBR Brave201021794:7535
    5Sydney Bears211012891:8834
    6Sydney Ice Dogs191011799:8833
    7Melbourne Ice219138104:10432
    8Central Coast Rhinos2381014102:13726
    9Brisbane Lightning2270114117:14922
    10Adelaide211121753:1167

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