Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders
Result
18:20 OT
04/05/2025 at 04:25 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
australiaAustraliaFox League, NRL
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Action

Match Stats

Tries
33
Conversion Goals
13
Conversion Goal Attempts
33
Penalty Goals
21
Penalty Goal Attempts
21
Goals %
6080
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
01
Total Runs
175200
Metres Run With Ball
15561640

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 12)
  • 7', Anderson G. (Try),
  • 11', Papenhuyzen R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 16', Papenhuyzen R. (Try),
  • 17', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 25', Papenhuyzen R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 29', Tamale S. (Try),
  • 30', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Timoko M. (Try),
  • 35', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 6)
  • 59', Faalogo S. (Try),
  • 78', Weekes K. (Try),
  • 80', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • Extra Time (0 - 2)
  • 85', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Melbourne Storm
61.2%
Draw
4.4%
Canberra Raiders
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 3.8% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9% 3.6% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Canberra Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.43)
    20.41
    (24.75)
    2.72
    (3.07)
    7.6%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
  • What is the prediction for Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:21.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 3.
    • Melbourne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Canberra is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Melbourne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 456:276. (average 22.8:13.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 308:180. (average 23.7:13.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders were as follows:
    29.06.2024 Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders 16:6
    13.08.2023 Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders 48:2
    10.09.2022 Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders 20:28
    Latest results of Canberra Raiders
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2