Melbourne Storm vs Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Melbourne Storm - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
Result
26:18
12/09/2025 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia9 Go!, Fox League, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Sports 1
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1

Match Stats

Tries
43
Conversion Goals
43
Conversion Goal Attempts
43
Penalty Goals
10
Penalty Goal Attempts
10
Goals %
100100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
201190
Metres Run With Ball
17941672

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 12)
  • 4', Katoa E. (Try),
  • 5', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 21', Sexton T. (Try),
  • 22', Burton M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 24', Meaney N. (Penalty Goal),
  • 30', Kiraz J. (Try),
  • 32', Burton M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 35', Lisati A. (Try),
  • 36', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (12 - 6)
  • 58', Burton M. (Try),
  • 60', Burton M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 66', Wishart T. (Try),
  • 68', Pezet J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 77', Warbrick W. (Try),
  • 78', Pezet J. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Melbourne Storm
67%
Draw
4.4%
Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 4.6% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 4.9% 37.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Melbourne Storm's performance.
  • Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melbourne Storm that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Melbourne Storm - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.56)
    19.88
    (20)
    3.39
    (2.6)
    6.4%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 37.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Melbourne will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 367:345. (average 18.4:17.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 193:150. (average 19.3:15).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Storm - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs were as follows:
    22.08.2025 Melbourne Storm - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 20:14
    12.04.2024 Melbourne Storm - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 16:14
    15.02.2024 Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Melbourne Storm 24:12
    11.03.2023 Melbourne Storm - Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 12:26
    Latest results of Melbourne Storm
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2