Melbourne Storm vs Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
26/09/2025 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Melbourne Storm
67.8%
Draw
4.4%
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66% 3.9% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70% 4.1% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.41)
    21.5
    (23.5)
    3.46
    (3.08)
    7.1%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 40.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 3.
    • Melbourne has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cronulla-Sutherland is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Cronulla-Sutherland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Melbourne is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 447:299. (average 22.4:15).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 329:153. (average 27.4:12.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 30:6
    17.05.2025 Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Melbourne Storm 31:26
    14.09.2024 Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 37:10
    11.05.2024 Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 18:25
    11.06.2023 Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 54:10
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2