Melbourne Storm vs Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
Result
22:14
26/09/2025 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia9 HD, Fox League, Nine, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Sports 1
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix

Match Stats

Tries
43
Conversion Goals
20
Conversion Goal Attempts
43
Penalty Goals
11
Penalty Goal Attempts
11
Goals %
6025
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
196179
Metres Run With Ball
17601578

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (16 - 8)
  • 7', Warbrick W. (Try),
  • 8', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
  • 12', Katoa S. (Try),
  • 14', Hynes N. (Missed Conversion),
  • 16', Hughes J. (Try),
  • 17', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Katoa S. (Try),
  • 32', Hynes N. (Missed Conversion),
  • 36', Papenhuyzen R. (Try),
  • 37', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (6 - 6)
  • 59', Hynes N. (Penalty Goal),
  • 66', Meaney N. (Penalty Goal),
  • 75', Coates X. (Try),
  • 76', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
  • 80', Iro K. (Try),
  • 80+1', Hynes N. (Missed Conversion),

Chances of winning


Melbourne Storm
70%
Draw
4.6%
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66% 3.9% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70% 4.1% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Melbourne Storm aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.41)
    20.29
    (23.5)
    3.83
    (3.08)
    6.5%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 42.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
    What is the prediction for Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cronulla-Sutherland (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 26:17.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 3.
    • In recent matches, Melbourne has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cronulla-Sutherland is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Cronulla-Sutherland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Melbourne is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 447:299. (average 22.4:15).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 329:153. (average 27.4:12.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 30:6
    17.05.2025 Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Melbourne Storm 31:26
    14.09.2024 Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 37:10
    11.05.2024 Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 18:25
    11.06.2023 Melbourne Storm - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks 54:10
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Canterbury Bulldogs (3)26 : 18
    3Canberra Raiders (1)Bye
    4Cronulla Sharks (5)Sydney Roosters (8)20 : 10
    5Canberra Raiders (1)Brisbane Broncos (4)28 : 29
    7Canterbury BulldogsBye
    8New Zealand Warriors (6)Penrith Panthers (7)8 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Bye
    2Canberra Raiders (1)Cronulla Sharks (5)12 : 32
    3Brisbane Broncos (4)Bye
    4Canterbury Bulldogs (3)Penrith Panthers (7)26 : 46

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Cronulla Sharks (5)22 : 14
    2Brisbane Broncos (4)Penrith Panthers (7)16 : 14

    Final
    1Melbourne Storm (2)Brisbane Broncos (4)22 : 26