Result
10:40
29/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
 Australia | NRL |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 50 | 86 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 151 | 196 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 1118 | 1581 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (10 - 0)
- 22', Blore S. (Try),
- 24', Papenhuyzen R. (Conversion Goal),
- 37', Anderson G. (Try),
- 2nd Half (0 - 40)
- 46', Nawaqanitawase M. (Try),
- 48', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Wong S. (Try),
- 55', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 64', Nawaqanitawase M. (Try),
- 65', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 67', Nawaqanitawase M. (Try),
- 69', Smith S. (Missed Conversion),
- 71', Nawaqanitawase M. (Try),
- 73', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 77', Toia R. (Try),
- 78', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Tedesco J. (Try),
- 80', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Melbourne Storm
52.8% | Draw
4.5% | Sydney Roosters
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Storm's form might have worsened.Sydney Roosters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sydney Roosters's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sydney Roosters than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sydney Roosters, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Melbourne Storm - Sydney Roosters Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.47) |
20.6 ↓
(23.67) |
2.19 ↓
(2.85) |
8.3%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 44.00The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 5.
- Melbourne is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Sydney's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 452:297. (average 22.6:14.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 239:160. (average 23.9:16).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Storm won against Sydney Roosters?
Melbourne Storm has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney Roosters won against Melbourne Storm?
Sydney Roosters has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Storm - Sydney Roosters were as follows:
24.07.2025
Sydney Roosters
-
Melbourne Storm
30:34
27.09.2024
Melbourne Storm
-
Sydney Roosters
48:18
20.07.2024
Melbourne Storm
-
Sydney Roosters
24:8
18.04.2024
Sydney Roosters
-
Melbourne Storm
12:18
15.09.2023
Melbourne Storm
-
Sydney Roosters
18:13
Latest results of Melbourne Storm
Latest results of Sydney Roosters
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Canterbury Bulldogs (3) | 26 : 18 |
| 3 | Canberra Raiders (1) | Bye | |
| 4 | Cronulla Sharks (5) | Sydney Roosters (8) | 20 : 10 |
| 5 | Canberra Raiders (1) | Brisbane Broncos (4) | 28 : 29 |
| 7 | Canterbury Bulldogs | Bye | |
| 8 | New Zealand Warriors (6) | Penrith Panthers (7) | 8 : 24 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Canberra Raiders (1) | Cronulla Sharks (5) | 12 : 32 |
| 3 | Brisbane Broncos (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | Canterbury Bulldogs (3) | Penrith Panthers (7) | 26 : 46 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne Storm (2) | Cronulla Sharks (5) | |
| 2 | Brisbane Broncos (4) | Penrith Panthers (7) | |
Final
