Result
0:1
05/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (317/412) | 79% (333/423) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (317/412) | 79% (333/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (16/47) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (122/175) | 64% (64/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Esposito S. ↓, Davidson J. ↑,
- 34', Genreau D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vergos N. ↓, Nduka C. ↑,
- 54', Velupillay N. 🟨,
- 61', Edwards D. ↓, Kelly-Heald L. ↑,
- 68', Jelacic K. ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
- 68', Genreau D. ↓, D'Arrigo L. ↑,
- 68', Velupillay N. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
- 73', Najjarine R. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
- 76', Rufer A. 🟨,
- 83', Retre P. ↓, Conchie F. ↑,
- 84', Nagasawa K. ↓, Armiento C. ↑,
- 84', Piper C. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
- 88', Mata J. ↓, Clarismario ↑,
- 89', 0 - 1, Kartum S. ⚽, Eze I. (A),
- 90+1', Eze I. ↓, James M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
60.6% | Draw
20.6% | Wellington Phoenix
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.55) |
4.62 ↑
(4.56) |
5.1 ↓
(5.27) |
5.2%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Melbourne Victory will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 4.
- Melbourne Victory is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Wellington's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Melbourne Victory is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: D'Arrigo L.
(Leg Injury)
Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
Reec J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Wellington: Singh S.
(Inactive)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Melbourne Victory will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Wellington Phoenix?
Melbourne Victory has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Melbourne Victory?
Wellington Phoenix has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
06.02.2026
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne Victory
2:3
29.12.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Wellington Phoenix
5:1
12.04.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne Victory
2:3
14.02.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
23.11.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne Victory
1:0
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets ✔ | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 44 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:26 | 14 | 41 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:23 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 37 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29:29 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:41 | -9 | 31 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 34:38 | -4 | 29 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:38 | -8 | 27 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 26 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Newcastle Jets is Qualified for A~League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
