Result
5:1
29/12/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 10
- Referee: Evans S. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (411/503) | 78% (284/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.35 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (411/503) | 78% (284/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (17/40) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (141/192) | 61% (49/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 3.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -1.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Vergos N. ⚽, Velupillay N. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Najjarine R. ⚽,
- 42', 2 - 1, Vergos N. ⚽, Rawlins J. (A),
- 45+2', James M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', 3 - 1, Vergos N. ⚽,
- 55', 4 - 1, Clarismario ⚽, Mata J. (A),
- 56', Velupillay N. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
- 57', Armiento C. ↓, Conchie F. ↑,
- 57', Nagasawa K. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
- 64', Rufer A. ↓, Retre P. ↑,
- 67', Mata J. ↓, Jelacic K. ↑,
- 67', D'Arrigo L. ↓, Genreau D. ↑,
- 82', Clarismario ↓, Reec J. ↑,
- 82', Davidson J. ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 90', 5 - 1, Jelacic K. ⚽, Reec J. (A),
- 90+4', Traore A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
59.5% | Draw
21.4% | Wellington Phoenix
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.6) |
4.4 ↑
(3.83) |
4.95 ↓
(5.05) |
6.1%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Melbourne Victory will win
(22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Melbourne Victory will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Melbourne Victory has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Wellington has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Melbourne Victory is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
Lino F.
(Injury)
Piscopo R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Wellington: Ishige H.
(Injury)
Mileusnic N.
(Injury)
Payne T.
(Inactive)
Supyk L.
(Injury)
Walker N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wellington: Oluwayemi J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Wellington Phoenix?
Melbourne Victory has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Melbourne Victory?
Wellington Phoenix has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
12.04.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne Victory
2:3
14.02.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
23.11.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne Victory
1:0
18.05.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne Victory
1:2
12.05.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:0
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Adelaide United | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Macarthur FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 7 | Perth Glory | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 8 | Melbourne City | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 13 |
| 9 | Newcastle Jets | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 11 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 | Central Coast Mariners | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
