Result
2:3
12/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 26
- Referee: Faghani A. (Irn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Paramount+ |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
Philippines | Cignal Play, Premier Football |
South-korea | SPOTV Now |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1 |
Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.18 | 1.71 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 10 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
75% (235/315) | 75% (290/387) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.18 | 1.71 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.69 | 3.26 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 22 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 10 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 17 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 36 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
75% (235/315) | 75% (290/387) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (17/41) | 43% (20/46) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (56/90) | 73% (109/150) |
Crosses |
---|
16% (3/19) | 33% (5/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.96 | 0.95 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
44% (8/18) | 72% (13/18) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 58 |
Clearances Total |
---|
32 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.26 | 1.69 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.33 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Velupillay N. ⚽, Arzani D. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Piper C. ⚽, Sutton S. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Machach Z. ⚽, Velupillay N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 3, Vergos N. ⚽,
- 56', Sheridan M. ↓, Kelly-Heald L. ↑,
- 56', Ishige H. ↓, Retre P. ↑,
- 56', Nagasawa K. ↓, Brooke-Smith L. ↑,
- 56', Teague R. ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
- 57', Jackson L. 🟨,
- 65', Arzani D. ↓, Badolato A. ↑,
- 65', Roderick ↓, Hamill B. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 3, Retre P. ⚽,
- 78', Hamill B. 🟨,
- 79', Ishige H. ↓, Retre P. ↑,
- 80', Vergos N. ↓, Fornaroli B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wellington Phoenix 22% | Draw 22.4% | Melbourne Victory 55.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.31 ↓ (4.75) |
4.2 ↑ (3.86) |
1.7 ↑ (1.69) |
5.9% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Wellington will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Wellington won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Wellington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Melbourne Victory is a favorite.
- There will not play in Wellington: Colakovski S.
(Knee Injury)
Geraldes F.
(Inactive)
Kelly-Heald A.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Clarismario
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Wellington won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23:28 (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Wellington won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14:7 (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Melbourne Victory?
Wellington Phoenix has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Wellington Phoenix?
Melbourne Victory has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
14.02.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:0
23.11.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne Victory
1:0
18.05.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne Victory
1:2
12.05.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Wellington Phoenix
0:0
12.04.2024
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne Victory
1:0
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals1 | Melbourne City (2) | Bye | |
2 | Western United (3) | Adelaide United (6) | 3 : 2 |
3 | Auckland FC (1) | Bye | |
4 | WS Wanderers (4) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals1 | Melbourne City (2) | Western United (3) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
2 | Auckland FC (1) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final1 | Melbourne City (2) | Melbourne Victory (5) | 1 : 0 |