Mensajero vs Herbania – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
26/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Nieto V. ,
  • 18', 2 - 0, Celihueta I. ,
  • 45+3', 3 - 0, Barroso Santana M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 68', 4 - 0, ,
  • 76', 4 - 1, ,
  • 90+1', 5 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Mensajero
57.3%
Draw
27.3%
Herbania
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 25.5% 13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7% 25.7% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Herbania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herbania than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Mensajero - Herbania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.5)
    3.34
    (3.6)
    5.89
    (6.89)
    9.8%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Herbania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mensajero is the obvious favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Mensajero
    18.10.2025 Las Palmas C - Mensajero 1:1
    28.09.2025 Mensajero - Marino 3:2
    21.09.2025 Lanzarote - Mensajero 4:1
    13.09.2025 Tenerife C - Mensajero 1:0
    Latest results of Herbania
    18.10.2025 Herbania - Tenerife C 3:4
    11.10.2025 San Bartolomé - Herbania 0:1
    04.10.2025 Herbania - UD San Fernando 2:1
    27.09.2025 Arucas - Herbania 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Paso23146335:132248
    2Tenerife C23136441:251645
    3Tamaraceite23133732:23942
    4Panaderia22125537:201741
    5San Fernando22125530:181241
    6Mensajero23117536:231340
    7Lanzarote23105835:27835
    8Las Palmas C2397743:321134
    9Real Union Tenerife2397724:23134
    10Villa Santa Brigida231031027:22533
    11CD Marino2388738:271132
    12San Miguel23581024:30-623
    13Yaiza23641321:32-1122
    14Herbania23561228:40-1221
    15Arucas23491020:32-1221
    16San Bartolome23491017:39-2221
    17SD Tenisca23441520:49-2916
    18Telde23281317:50-3314

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