Mensajero vs Real Unión – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
09/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 73', 1 - 0, Arrocha E. ,
  • 78', 2 - 0, Grande D. ,

Chances of winning


Mensajero
59.7%
Draw
23.2%
Real Unión
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 22.7% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 22.1% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Real Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Mensajero - Real Unión Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.53)
    3.9
    (4)
    5.29
    (5.04)
    10.6%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 11).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Mensajero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Real Unión has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Mensajero is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Mensajero will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mensajero
    01.11.2025 Tamaraceite - Mensajero 2:2
    26.10.2025 Mensajero - Herbania 5:1
    18.10.2025 Las Palmas C - Mensajero 1:1
    28.09.2025 Mensajero - Marino 3:2
    Latest results of Real Unión
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Paso23146335:132248
    2Tenerife C23136441:251645
    3Tamaraceite23133732:23942
    4Panaderia22125537:201741
    5San Fernando22125530:181241
    6Mensajero23117536:231340
    7Lanzarote23105835:27835
    8Las Palmas C2397743:321134
    9Real Union Tenerife2397724:23134
    10Villa Santa Brigida231031027:22533
    11CD Marino2388738:271132
    12San Miguel23581024:30-623
    13Yaiza23641321:32-1122
    14Herbania23561228:40-1221
    15Arucas23491020:32-1221
    16San Bartolome23491017:39-2221
    17SD Tenisca23441520:49-2916
    18Telde23281317:50-3314

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation