Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Barroso Santana M. ⚽,
- 38', 2 - 0, Nieto V. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Mensajero 47.7% | Draw 27.2% | Tamaraceite 25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)The chances for Tamaraceite have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamaraceite than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Mensajero - Tamaraceite Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.9 ↓ (1.91) |
3.35 ↓ (3.38) |
3.62 ↓ (3.63) |
10% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mensajero won 3.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Tamaraceite may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mensajero will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mensajero won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mensajero won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Mensajero won against Tamaraceite?
Mensajero has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tamaraceite won against Mensajero?
Tamaraceite has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mensajero - Tamaraceite were as follows:
01.11.2025
Tamaraceite
-
Mensajero
2:2
01.03.2025
Tamaraceite
-
Mensajero
0:1
20.10.2024
Mensajero
-
Tamaraceite
1:2
08.04.2023
Tamaraceite
-
Mensajero
0:2
11.12.2022
Mensajero
-
Tamaraceite
2:1
Latest results of Mensajero
Latest results of Tamaraceite
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Paso | 33 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 50:18 | 32 | 66 |
| 2 | San Fernando | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 49:22 | 27 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 50:31 | 19 | 60 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 51:35 | 16 | 60 |
| 5 | Las Palmas C | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 58:41 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Panaderia | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 47:33 | 14 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 49:45 | 4 | 52 |
| 8 | Lanzarote | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 45:36 | 9 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Santa Brigida | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 39:35 | 4 | 47 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 34:32 | 2 | 44 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 39 |
| 12 | Yaiza | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 33:43 | -10 | 37 |
| 13 | San Miguel | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36:43 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 29:55 | -26 | 33 |
| 15 | Herbania | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 38:57 | -19 | 31 |
| 16 | Arucas | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 29:46 | -17 | 30 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 31:63 | -32 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 30:68 | -38 | 25 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
Relegation