Result
2:0 ET
24/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Extra Time (2 - 0)
- 102', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 115', Gonzalez O. 🟥,
- 118', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
UD San Fernando
45.3% | Draw
30.4% | Mensajero
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD San Fernando's form might have worsened.Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mensajero's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+16%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD San Fernando, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mensajero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
UD San Fernando - Mensajero Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.54) |
3.08 ↓
(3.77) |
3.86 ↓
(5.5) |
6.8%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for UD San Fernando - Mensajero?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 0.
- UD San Fernando is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mensajero's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, UD San Fernando is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that UD San Fernando will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, UD San Fernando won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has UD San Fernando won against Mensajero?
UD San Fernando has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mensajero won against UD San Fernando?
Mensajero has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UD San Fernando - Mensajero were as follows:
17.05.2025
Mensajero
-
UD San Fernando
1:1
17.04.2025
Mensajero
-
UD San Fernando
1:1
Latest results of UD San Fernando
Latest results of Mensajero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lanzarote | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Tenerife C | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Atl. Paso | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | San Fernando | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 6 | Yaiza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
| 7 | Real Union Tenerife | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Mensajero | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Panaderia | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | Arucas | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Las Palmas C | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 8 |
| 14 | Herbania | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | San Miguel | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | San Bartolome | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | Telde | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1:17 | -16 | 2 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
