UD San Fernando vs Mensajero – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 UD San Fernando - Mensajero
Result
2:0 ET
24/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • Extra Time (2 - 0)
  • 102', 1 - 0, ,
  • 115', Gonzalez O. 🟥,
  • 118', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


UD San Fernando
45.3%
Draw
30.4%
Mensajero
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 24.2% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 23.4% 16%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UD San Fernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD San Fernando's form might have worsened.
  • Mensajero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mensajero's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (+16%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD San Fernando, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mensajero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • UD San Fernando - Mensajero Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.54)
    3.08
    (3.77)
    3.86
    (5.5)
    6.8%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for UD San Fernando - Mensajero?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 0.
    • UD San Fernando is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mensajero's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, UD San Fernando is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that UD San Fernando will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, UD San Fernando won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UD San Fernando won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UD San Fernando - Mensajero were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Mensajero - UD San Fernando 1:1
    17.04.2025 Mensajero - UD San Fernando 1:1
    Latest results of UD San Fernando
    Latest results of Mensajero
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2