Ursaria vs Mensajero – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Ursaria - Mensajero
Result
2:2
21/01/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 19

Chances of winning


Ursaria
48.6%
Draw
28%
Mensajero
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 29.7% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 29.8% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ursaria's performance.
  • Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ursaria that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Ursaria - Mensajero Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.12)
    3.25
    (3.08)
    3.88
    (3.38)
    9.5%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Ursaria is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Mensajero is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recently Mensajero have a series of home games.
    • In this match Ursaria is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Ursaria won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ursaria - Mensajero were as follows:
    10.09.2023 Mensajero - Ursaria 1:1
    Latest results of Ursaria
    14.01.2024 Getafe B - Ursaria 1:0
    07.01.2024 Villanovense - Ursaria 3:0
    17.12.2023 Ursaria - Navalcarnero 1:0
    10.12.2023 Numancia - Ursaria 3:0
    03.12.2023 Ursaria - Illescas 0:1
    Latest results of Mensajero
    14.01.2024 Mensajero - San Fernando 1:0
    07.01.2024 Mensajero - CD Guadalajara 4:1
    17.12.2023 Unión Adarve - Mensajero 3:3
    03.12.2023 Mensajero - Badajoz 1:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2