Meralco Bolts vs San Miguel Beermen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
104:113
19/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PBA Philippine Cup

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Meralco Bolts
50.7%
San Miguel Beermen
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 66.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Meralco Bolts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Meralco Bolts's performance.
  • San Miguel Beermen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Miguel Beermen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meralco Bolts than the current prediction. (-17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Meralco Bolts that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel Beermen than the current prediction. (+17.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Miguel Beermen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.94)

    1.88
    (1.34)
    8.2%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 194.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
    What is the prediction for Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Meralco Bolts will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). San Miguel Beermen will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Meralco Bolts: 40%93.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3.5, OT - Meralco Bolts (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Meralco Bolts will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Meralco Bolts (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 98:98.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Meralco Bolts won 3.
    • Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
    • Meralco Bolts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Meralco Bolts won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1881:1933. (average 94.1:96.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Meralco Bolts won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 994:1095. (average 90.4:99.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen were as follows:
    20.06.2025 Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen 97:108
    09.04.2025 Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen 98:110
    18.01.2025 San Miguel Beermen - Meralco Bolts 93:100
    16.06.2024 Meralco Bolts - San Miguel Beermen 80:78
    14.06.2024 San Miguel Beermen - Meralco Bolts 88:92
    Latest results of Meralco Bolts
    Latest results of San Miguel Beermen
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)NLEX Road Warriors (8)2 : 0
    2Converge FiberXers (4)Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (5)1 : 2
    3TNT Tropang Giga (3)Magnolia Hotshots (6)2 : 0
    4Rain or Shine Elasto Painters (2)Meralco Bolts (7)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (5)4 : 2
    2TNT Tropang Giga (3)Meralco Bolts (7)4 : 1

    Final
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)TNT Tropang Giga (3)4 : 2