Result
0:1
10/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 17
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 70', 🟥,
- 73', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Alcúdia
35.8% | Draw
29.8% | Mercadal
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcúdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mercadal's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcúdia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mercadal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alcúdia - Mercadal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.22) |
3.04 ↑
(2.98) |
2.63 ↓
(3.12) |
10.6%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6).
- In recent matches, Alcúdia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mercadal is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alcúdia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Alcúdia could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alcúdia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alcúdia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Alcúdia won against Mercadal?
Alcúdia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mercadal won against Alcúdia?
Mercadal has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcúdia - Mercadal were as follows:
25.01.2025
Alcúdia
-
Mercadal
0:1
21.04.2024
Alcúdia
-
Mercadal
1:0
02.12.2023
Mercadal
-
Alcúdia
0:0
Latest results of Alcúdia
Latest results of Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 87:20 | 67 | 74 |
| 2 | Manacor | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 64:31 | 33 | 73 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 57:26 | 31 | 61 |
| 4 | Constancia | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 47:26 | 21 | 49 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | Inter Ibiza | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 39:37 | 2 | 47 |
| 7 | Formentera | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 25:25 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 32:50 | -18 | 37 |
| 10 | Binissalem | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 36 |
| 11 | Santanyi | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 12 | Platges de Calvia | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Son Cladera | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 36:50 | -14 | 34 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 30:56 | -26 | 33 |
| 15 | Portmany | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 22:45 | -23 | 28 |
| 16 | Felanitx | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 17 | Collerense | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 34:55 | -21 | 22 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 28:59 | -31 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
