Alcúdia vs Mercadal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Alcúdia - Mercadal
Result
0:1
25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)

Chances of winning


Alcúdia
44.3%
Draw
28.6%
Mercadal
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.9% 27.3% 21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 28.3% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alcúdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcúdia's form might have worsened.
  • Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mercadal's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcúdia than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcúdia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mercadal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alcúdia - Mercadal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.79)
    3.17
    (3.34)
    3.35
    (4.17)
    10.2%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alcúdia - Mercadal were as follows:
    21.04.2024 Alcúdia - Mercadal 1:0
    02.12.2023 Mercadal - Alcúdia 0:0
    Latest results of Alcúdia
    21.12.2024 Alcúdia - Constancia 1:1
    18.12.2024 Alcúdia - Binissalem 2:1
    15.12.2024 Porreres - Alcúdia 2:3
    Latest results of Mercadal
    19.01.2025 Mercadal - Santanyí 3:2
    12.01.2025 Mercadal - Campos 3:0
    21.12.2024 Felanitx - Mercadal 1:1
    14.12.2024 Mercadal - Formentera 2:2
    07.12.2024 Poblense - Mercadal 1:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2