Result
Postponed
05/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 29
Chances of winning
Llosetense 53.4% | Draw 26.6% | Mercadal 20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Llosetense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llosetense than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Llosetense - Mercadal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↑ (1.69) |
3.43 ↑ (3.4) |
4.55 ↑ (4.52) |
9.6% (10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llosetense won 2.
- Llosetense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Mercadal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mercadal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Llosetense is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Llosetense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Llosetense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Llosetense won against Mercadal?
Llosetense has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mercadal won against Llosetense?
Mercadal has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Llosetense - Mercadal were as follows:
23.11.2025
Mercadal
-
Llosetense
0:0
05.04.2025
Llosetense
-
Mercadal
3:1
24.11.2024
Mercadal
-
Llosetense
4:0
16.12.2023
Llosetense
-
Mercadal
1:0
04.03.2023
Llosetense
-
Mercadal
0:2
Latest results of Llosetense
Latest results of Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 87:20 | 67 | 74 |
| 2 | Manacor | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 64:31 | 33 | 73 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 57:26 | 31 | 61 |
| 4 | Constancia | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 47:26 | 21 | 49 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | Inter Ibiza | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 39:37 | 2 | 47 |
| 7 | Formentera | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 8 | Mercadal | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 25:25 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Cardassar | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 32:50 | -18 | 37 |
| 10 | Binissalem | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 23:31 | -8 | 36 |
| 11 | Santanyi | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 12 | Platges de Calvia | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 13 | Son Cladera | 30 | 10 | 4 | 16 | 36:50 | -14 | 34 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 30:56 | -26 | 33 |
| 15 | Portmany | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 22:45 | -23 | 28 |
| 16 | Felanitx | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 17 | Collerense | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 34:55 | -21 | 22 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 28:59 | -31 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation