Mercedes vs Ituzaingó: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Argentinian Primera C Mercedes - Ituzaingó
Result
1:0
18/04/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera C - Round 7
Mercedes - Ituzaingó - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
59
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
29
Red Cards
11
Total shots
59
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
29
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Gatti F. N. ,
  • 30', Alani F. 🟥,
  • 45+1', Fanti J. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Mercedes
26.4%
Draw
31.1%
Ituzaingó
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 30.9% 27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 31.1% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mercedes's form might have worsened.
  • Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ituzaingó's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mercedes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ituzaingó, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mercedes - Ituzaingó Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.46
    (2.17)
    2.95
    (2.95)
    2.15
    (3.35)
    9.3%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Mercedes - Ituzaingó?
  • Users Predictions: Ituzaingó will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ituzaingó will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 5).
    • Mercedes has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Ituzaingó is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Mercedes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mercedes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mercedes - Ituzaingó were as follows:
    16.09.2024 Ituzaingó - Mercedes 2:1
    13.04.2024 Mercedes - Ituzaingó 0:4
    Latest results of Mercedes
    Latest results of Ituzaingó
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ituzaingo1593316:8830
    2Central Cordoba1592426:121429
    3Justo Jose de Urquiza1582517:14326
    4Berazategui1573516:13324
    5Deportivo Espanol1665514:12223
    6Leandro N. Alem1471618:12622
    7Mercedes1663712:16-421
    8Claypole1547416:14219
    9Def. de Cambaceres1461713:16-319
    10Lugano1654714:19-519
    11Deportivo Muniz164667:10-318
    12El Porvenir1542915:23-814
    13Puerto Nuevo16411112:27-1513


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Camioneros17106124:61836
    2Club Lujan1695223:91432
    3Estrella Del Sur1677215:11428
    4Argentino de Rosario1675415:13226
    5Sportivo Barracas1657417:14322
    6Juventud Unida S. M1664617:17022
    7Canuelas1648413:13020
    8Atlas1654723:30-719
    9Deportivo Paraguayo1754813:22-919
    10Yupanqui1746720:22-218
    11General Lamadrid1745816:21-517
    12CSR Espanol1736817:22-515
    13Central Ballester1536612:17-515
    14Victoriano A1643915:23-815

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Primera C (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )

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