Lugano vs Mercedes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera C Lugano - Mercedes
Result
0:1
17/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 22

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
01
Shots on target
01
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
01
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Amado L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Lugano
45%
Draw
31%
Mercedes
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 31.4% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 30.4% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Lugano - Mercedes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.92)
    2.91
    (2.9)
    3.77
    (4.3)
    10.9%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lugano is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Mercedes were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Mercedes - Lugano 1:1
    26.10.2024 Mercedes - Lugano 2:2
    27.05.2024 Lugano - Mercedes 0:0
    09.10.2023 Mercedes - Lugano 2:1
    02.07.2023 Lugano - Mercedes 2:1
    Latest results of Lugano
    03.08.2025 Lugano - Puerto Nuevo 1:0
    20.07.2025 Berazategui - Lugano 3:0
    12.07.2025 Lugano - Ituzaingó 1:2
    Latest results of Mercedes
    Draw
    Qualification - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1ClaypoleCentral Ballester3 : 1
    2CanuelasLugano3 : 1, 2 : 0
    3CSR EspanolVictoriano A.1 : 0
    4Deportivo MunizYupanqui1 : 4, 1 : 2
    5MercedesDeportivo Paraguayo2 : 0, 0 : 0
    6AtlasDef. de Cambaceres1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1Canuelas
    2TBD #3Yupanqui
    3MercedesTBD #6

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3Bye

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2