Mercedes vs Lugano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera C Mercedes - Lugano
Result
1:1
02/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
71
Red Cards
02
Total shots
108
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
71
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Vivas M. 🟥,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Zuccaro M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Noriega A. ,
  • 90+4', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Mercedes
27.9%
Draw
32.5%
Lugano
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 30.7% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 29.8% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mercedes's form might have worsened.
  • Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mercedes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mercedes - Lugano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.28
    (2.38)
    2.82
    (2.97)
    2.31
    (2.96)
    9.3%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mercedes - Lugano were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Mercedes - Lugano 2:2
    27.05.2024 Lugano - Mercedes 0:0
    09.10.2023 Mercedes - Lugano 2:1
    02.07.2023 Lugano - Mercedes 2:1
    01.04.2023 Lugano - Mercedes 2:1
    Latest results of Mercedes
    Latest results of Lugano
    19.04.2025 Puerto Nuevo - Lugano 1:0
    05.04.2025 Lugano - Berazategui 2:0
    29.03.2025 Ituzaingó - Lugano 2:0
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ituzaingo18114322:101237
    2Central Cordoba18103529:151433
    3Justo Jose de Urquiza18103520:15533
    4Berazategui1793523:131030
    5Deportivo Espanol1976617:16127
    6Leandro N. Alem1882819:14526
    7Claypole1867519:17225
    8Mercedes1973917:21-424
    9Deportivo Muniz185679:11-221
    10Def. de Cambaceres17611014:21-719
    11Lugano1754814:22-819
    12El Porvenir1753916:23-718
    13Puerto Nuevo18411313:34-2113


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Camioneros20127127:62143
    2Club Lujan20117227:111640
    3Juventud Unida S. M2086623:18530
    4Estrella Del Sur1979316:13330
    5Argentino de Rosario2078518:19-129
    6Sportivo Barracas2077621:17428
    7Atlas1965825:33-823
    8Canuelas19410513:14-122
    9Deportivo Paraguayo2057815:24-922
    10Victoriano A2056918:25-721
    11General Lamadrid1947819:24-519
    12Yupanqui2047921:27-619
    13Central Ballester20310715:23-819
    14CSR Espanol20461020:24-418

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