Lugano vs Mercedes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera C Lugano - Mercedes
Result
0:1
17/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 22

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
01
Shots on target
01
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
01
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Amado L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Lugano
45%
Draw
31%
Mercedes
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 31.4% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 30.4% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Lugano - Mercedes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.92)
    2.91
    (2.9)
    3.77
    (4.3)
    10.9%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lugano is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Mercedes were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Mercedes - Lugano 1:1
    26.10.2024 Mercedes - Lugano 2:2
    27.05.2024 Lugano - Mercedes 0:0
    09.10.2023 Mercedes - Lugano 2:1
    02.07.2023 Lugano - Mercedes 2:1
    Latest results of Lugano
    03.08.2025 Lugano - Puerto Nuevo 1:0
    20.07.2025 Berazategui - Lugano 3:0
    12.07.2025 Lugano - Ituzaingó 1:2
    Latest results of Mercedes
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ituzaingo23146328:121648
    2Berazategui ✔ 23135534:161844
    3Central Cordoba ✔ 23126536:191742
    4Justo Jose de Urquiza ✔ 23115722:17538
    5Deportivo Espanol ✔ 2488819:21-232
    6Claypole23611620:19129
    7Leandro N. Alem23851022:22029
    8El Porvenir2377923:27-428
    9Mercedes23841120:27-728
    10Deportivo Muniz2368912:16-426
    11Def. de Cambaceres23741220:28-825
    12Lugano23671019:28-925
    13Puerto Nuevo ✔ 23521617:40-2317


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Camioneros ✔ 25167235:92655
    2Club Lujan ✔ 25148331:121950
    3Estrella Del Sur ✔ 25119528:22642
    4Argentino de Rosario ✔ 25118628:20841
    5Sportivo Barracas ✔ 25109632:23939
    6General Lamadrid ✔ 2598836:30635
    7Juventud Unida S. M. ✔ 2589824:21333
    8CSR Espanol25781031:27429
    9Atlas25851229:45-1629
    10Canuelas25511917:24-726
    11Yupanqui25581224:34-1023
    12Victoriano A25571322:38-1622
    13Deportivo Paraguayo25571316:33-1722
    14Central Ballester253121017:32-1521

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Primera C (Relegation)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Berazategui is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Central Cordoba is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Justo Jose de Urquiza is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Deportivo Espanol is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Puerto Nuevo is Primera C (Relegation)
    Deportivo Camioneros is Qualified for Primera C (Super final )
    Club Lujan is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Estrella Del Sur is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Argentino de Rosario is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Sportivo Barracas is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    General Lamadrid is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Juventud Unida S. M. is Qualified for Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs )