Lugano vs Mercedes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
17/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 22

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
01
Shots on target
01
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
01
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Amado L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Lugano
45%
Draw
31%
Mercedes
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 31.4% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 30.4% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Lugano - Mercedes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.92)
    2.91
    (2.9)
    3.77
    (4.3)
    10.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lugano is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Mercedes were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Mercedes - Lugano 1:1
    26.10.2024 Mercedes - Lugano 2:2
    27.05.2024 Lugano - Mercedes 0:0
    09.10.2023 Mercedes - Lugano 2:1
    02.07.2023 Lugano - Mercedes 2:1
    Latest results of Lugano
    03.08.2025 Lugano - Puerto Nuevo 1:0
    20.07.2025 Berazategui - Lugano 3:0
    12.07.2025 Lugano - Ituzaingó 1:2
    Latest results of Mercedes
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sacachispas43015:419
    2Berazategui42208:358
    3CSR Espanol42119:367
    4Lugano32105:057
    5Estrella Del Sur42116:427
    6Mercedes42114:227
    7Victoriano A42113:127
    8Leandro N. Alem42117:9-27
    9Puerto Nuevo41213:305
    10Juventud Unida S. M41121:2-14
    11Deportivo Paraguayo41122:7-54
    12Argentino de Rosario40224:6-22
    13Def. de Cambaceres40223:6-32
    14Justo Jose de Urquiza40221:5-42


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1General Lamadrid42204:138
    2Yupanqui42115:417
    3Sportivo Barracas32013:126
    4Canuelas41305:416
    5Central Cordoba41303:216
    6Fenix41212:3-15
    7Leones de Rosario41212:4-25
    8El Porvenir40403:304
    9Central Ballester41122:204
    10Claypole41122:3-14
    11Deportivo Espanol40312:3-13
    12Club Lujan40222:4-22
    13Deportivo Muniz40221:4-32
    14Atlas40220:4-42

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