Lugano vs Mercedes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
17/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 22

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
01
Shots on target
01
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
01
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Amado L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Lugano
45%
Draw
31%
Mercedes
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 31.4% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 30.4% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Lugano - Mercedes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.92)
    2.91
    (2.9)
    3.77
    (4.3)
    10.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lugano is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Mercedes were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Mercedes - Lugano 1:1
    26.10.2024 Mercedes - Lugano 2:2
    27.05.2024 Lugano - Mercedes 0:0
    09.10.2023 Mercedes - Lugano 2:1
    02.07.2023 Lugano - Mercedes 2:1
    Latest results of Lugano
    03.08.2025 Lugano - Puerto Nuevo 1:0
    20.07.2025 Berazategui - Lugano 3:0
    12.07.2025 Lugano - Ituzaingó 1:2
    Latest results of Mercedes
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Berazategui1054116:7919
    2Sacachispas1052315:11417
    3CSR Espanol1043314:9515
    4Victoriano A104339:5415
    5Estrella Del Sur1043311:11015
    6Mercedes103526:5114
    7Lugano1034311:10113
    8Def. de Cambaceres1034310:9113
    9Puerto Nuevo1026210:11-112
    10Leandro N. Alem1033414:21-712
    11Deportivo Paraguayo103348:15-712
    12Justo Jose de Urquiza101725:8-310
    13Argentino de Rosario1015411:13-28
    14Juventud Unida S. M101547:12-58


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1General Lamadrid104519:6317
    2Yupanqui1044211:8316
    3Leones de Rosario1044211:10116
    4Canuelas1036110:7315
    5Claypole104339:7215
    6El Porvenir1028011:9214
    7Central Ballester1041512:11113
    8Central Cordoba103436:6013
    9Sportivo Barracas103349:8112
    10Club Lujan102538:8011
    11Atlas102537:10-311
    12Deportivo Espanol1017210:10010
    13Fenix101454:11-77
    14Deportivo Muniz100645:11-66

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )