Lugano vs Mercedes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
17/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 22

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
01
Shots on target
01
Corner Kicks
00
Total shots
01
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
00
Corner Kicks
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Amado L. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Lugano
45%
Draw
31%
Mercedes
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 31.4% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 30.4% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Mercedes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Lugano - Mercedes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.92)
    2.91
    (2.9)
    3.77
    (4.3)
    10.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 10 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Lugano is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lugano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugano - Mercedes were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Mercedes - Lugano 1:1
    26.10.2024 Mercedes - Lugano 2:2
    27.05.2024 Lugano - Mercedes 0:0
    09.10.2023 Mercedes - Lugano 2:1
    02.07.2023 Lugano - Mercedes 2:1
    Latest results of Lugano
    03.08.2025 Lugano - Puerto Nuevo 1:0
    20.07.2025 Berazategui - Lugano 3:0
    12.07.2025 Lugano - Ituzaingó 1:2
    Latest results of Mercedes
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Berazategui734011:4713
    2Estrella Del Sur733110:6412
    3Sacachispas740311:8312
    4Def. de Cambaceres732210:7311
    5Lugano73229:6311
    6Mercedes73225:4111
    7Puerto Nuevo72418:6210
    8CSR Espanol723210:649
    9Victoriano A72323:219
    10Leandro N. Alem72238:17-98
    11Justo Jose de Urquiza71424:7-37
    12Deportivo Paraguayo72145:13-87
    13Argentino de Rosario71337:8-16
    14Juventud Unida S. M71334:8-46


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Yupanqui73318:6212
    2General Lamadrid73317:5212
    3Leones de Rosario73316:6012
    4Claypole73226:5111
    5Central Ballester731310:7310
    6Sportivo Barracas73138:6210
    7Canuelas72417:6110
    8Deportivo Espanol71516:518
    9Central Cordoba71423:4-17
    10El Porvenir60607:706
    11Club Lujan71335:7-26
    12Fenix61324:7-36
    13Deportivo Muniz70434:8-44
    14Atlas70432:7-54

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