Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
24/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 23

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
73
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
53
Red Cards
01
Total shots
73
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 70', Ferreyra B. 🟥,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Cardozo V. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Ortigosa F. ,

Chances of winning


Mercedes
53.6%
Draw
27.7%
Puerto Nuevo
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 27.2% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 19.1% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Puerto Nuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mercedes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puerto Nuevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.65)
    3.26
    (3.33)
    4.83
    (5.12)
    10.8%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mercedes will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Puerto Nuevo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mercedes (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Mercedes (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Mercedes (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Mercedes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Primera C (Relegation)).
    • Mercedes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Puerto Nuevo is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Mercedes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mercedes is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mercedes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes 1:2
    20.10.2024 Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes 2:2
    21.05.2024 Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo 1:0
    Latest results of Mercedes
    17.08.2025 Lugano - Mercedes 0:1
    08.08.2025 Mercedes - Berazategui 1:3
    01.08.2025 Ituzaingó - Mercedes 3:2
    Latest results of Puerto Nuevo
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Berazategui22007:256
    2Lugano22005:056
    3Mercedes22003:036
    4CSR Espanol21015:233
    5Estrella Del Sur21014:313
    6Victoriano A21012:113
    7Puerto Nuevo21012:203
    8Juventud Unida S. M21011:103
    9Sacachispas21011:3-23
    10Leandro N. Alem21014:7-33
    11Argentino de Rosario20112:3-11
    12Def. de Cambaceres20112:4-21
    13Justo Jose de Urquiza20020:4-40
    14Deportivo Paraguayo20021:7-60


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Barracas22003:036
    2General Lamadrid21103:124
    3Central Ballester21102:024
    4Canuelas11002:113
    5Central Cordoba11001:013
    6Yupanqui21012:3-13
    7El Porvenir10101:101
    8Leones de Rosario10100:001
    9Deportivo Espanol20111:2-11
    10Club Lujan20111:2-11
    11Claypole20111:2-11
    12Deportivo Muniz20110:1-11
    13Fenix20111:3-21
    14Atlas20110:2-21

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )