Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
24/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 23

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
73
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
53
Red Cards
01
Total shots
73
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 70', Ferreyra B. 🟥,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Cardozo V. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Ortigosa F. ,

Chances of winning


Mercedes
53.6%
Draw
27.7%
Puerto Nuevo
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 27.2% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 19.1% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Puerto Nuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mercedes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puerto Nuevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.65)
    3.26
    (3.33)
    4.83
    (5.12)
    10.8%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mercedes will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Puerto Nuevo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Mercedes (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Mercedes (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mercedes will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mercedes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Primera C (Relegation)).
    • Mercedes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Puerto Nuevo is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Mercedes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mercedes is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mercedes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes 1:2
    20.10.2024 Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes 2:2
    21.05.2024 Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo 1:0
    Latest results of Mercedes
    17.08.2025 Lugano - Mercedes 0:1
    08.08.2025 Mercedes - Berazategui 1:3
    01.08.2025 Ituzaingó - Mercedes 3:2
    Latest results of Puerto Nuevo
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Berazategui734011:4713
    2Sacachispas740311:8312
    3Estrella Del Sur63219:5411
    4Def. de Cambaceres732210:7311
    5Lugano73229:6311
    6Mercedes73225:4111
    7Puerto Nuevo72418:6210
    8CSR Espanol723210:649
    9Victoriano A72323:219
    10Leandro N. Alem72238:17-98
    11Deportivo Paraguayo72145:13-87
    12Argentino de Rosario71337:8-16
    13Justo Jose de Urquiza61323:6-36
    14Juventud Unida S. M71334:8-46


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1General Lamadrid73317:5212
    2Yupanqui63216:4211
    3Claypole73226:5111
    4Central Ballester731310:7310
    5Sportivo Barracas73138:6210
    6Canuelas72417:6110
    7Leones de Rosario62314:5-19
    8Deportivo Espanol71516:518
    9Central Cordoba71423:4-17
    10Club Lujan71335:7-26
    11Fenix61324:7-36
    12El Porvenir50505:505
    13Deportivo Muniz60423:6-34
    14Atlas70432:7-54

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )