Mercedes vs Puerto Nuevo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
24/08/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 23

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
73
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
53
Red Cards
01
Total shots
73
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
21
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 70', Ferreyra B. 🟥,
  • 75', 0 - 1, Cardozo V. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, Ortigosa F. ,

Chances of winning


Mercedes
53.6%
Draw
27.7%
Puerto Nuevo
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 27.2% 17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 19.1% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Puerto Nuevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (-14.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mercedes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puerto Nuevo than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puerto Nuevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.65)
    3.26
    (3.33)
    4.83
    (5.12)
    10.8%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mercedes will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Puerto Nuevo will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Mercedes (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Mercedes (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mercedes will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Mercedes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Primera C (Relegation)).
    • Mercedes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Puerto Nuevo is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Mercedes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mercedes is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mercedes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes 1:2
    20.10.2024 Puerto Nuevo - Mercedes 2:2
    21.05.2024 Mercedes - Puerto Nuevo 1:0
    Latest results of Mercedes
    17.08.2025 Lugano - Mercedes 0:1
    08.08.2025 Mercedes - Berazategui 1:3
    01.08.2025 Ituzaingó - Mercedes 3:2
    Latest results of Puerto Nuevo
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sacachispas43015:419
    2Berazategui42208:358
    3CSR Espanol42119:367
    4Lugano32105:057
    5Estrella Del Sur42116:427
    6Mercedes42114:227
    7Victoriano A42113:127
    8Leandro N. Alem42117:9-27
    9Puerto Nuevo41213:305
    10Juventud Unida S. M41121:2-14
    11Deportivo Paraguayo41122:7-54
    12Argentino de Rosario40224:6-22
    13Def. de Cambaceres40223:6-32
    14Justo Jose de Urquiza40221:5-42


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1General Lamadrid42204:138
    2Yupanqui42115:417
    3Sportivo Barracas32013:126
    4Canuelas41305:416
    5Central Cordoba41303:216
    6Fenix41212:3-15
    7Leones de Rosario41212:4-25
    8El Porvenir40403:304
    9Central Ballester41122:204
    10Claypole41122:3-14
    11Deportivo Espanol40312:3-13
    12Club Lujan40222:4-22
    13Deportivo Muniz40221:4-32
    14Atlas40220:4-42

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Torneo Promocional Amateur (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )