Mérida AD vs Arenas Club de Getxo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
05/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
44
Yellow Cards
26
Red Cards
01
Total shots
134
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
61
Corner Kicks
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 2', Diocou B. 🟨,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Garcia A. , Pipe (A),
  • 22', 2 - 0, Lancho J. , Doncel C. (A),
  • 40', Herranz Jimenez G. 🟨,
  • 45+7', 🟨,
  • 45+9', 3 - 0, Doncel C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Herranz Jimenez G. , Sustatxa A. ,
  • 46', Honrado A. , Rodriguez J. L. ,
  • 46', Zabaleta E. , Boriko S. ,
  • 46', Doncel C. , Artola J. ,
  • 46', Beneit R. , Capitas M. ,
  • 54', 🟨,
  • 55', 🟨,
  • 55', Diocou B. 🟨,
  • 59', 🟨,
  • 62', Vazquez A. , Messina F. ,
  • 67', Chiqui , Miki ,
  • 67', Garcia A. , Pereira R. ,
  • 73', Alvarez P. , Lartitegi J. ,
  • 78', Areso J. , Jacobo R. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
51.8%
Draw
27.5%
Arenas Club de Getxo
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 28.1% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 27.7% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mérida AD's performance.
  • Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenas Club de Getxo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mérida AD that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenas Club de Getxo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mérida AD - Arenas Club de Getxo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (2.14)
    3.38
    (3.24)
    4.47
    (3.12)
    7%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • Recent form of Mérida AD has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Arenas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Arenas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mérida AD will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    28.09.2025 Zamora - Mérida AD 3:0
    20.09.2025 Cacereño - Mérida AD 2:1
    06.09.2025 Tenerife - Mérida AD 3:0
    30.08.2025 Mérida AD - Barakaldo 1:0
    Latest results of Arenas Club de Getxo
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife28186449:173260
    2Celta Vigo B28148643:35850
    3Ath Bilbao B28127930:30043
    4Barakaldo281110738:29943
    5Pontevedra271012532:201242
    6Zamora28119836:31542
    7Real Madrid B281261038:36242
    8Lugo281011727:27041
    9Racing Club Ferrol281251134:33141
    10Ponferradina281171028:23540
    11AD Merida281171037:38-140
    12Unionistas281081037:36138
    13Arenas Getxo271041331:38-734
    14Real Aviles28961340:48-833
    15Ourense CF28881231:33-232
    16Guadalajara28871330:41-1131
    17CF Talavera28861429:38-930
    18Cacereno286111126:37-1129
    19Arenteiro28671525:36-1125
    20Osasuna B28591418:33-1524

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