Result
 
                    3:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        18/10/2025 at  10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 45% | 55% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 9 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 4 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 9 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽, 
- 4', Lancho J. 🟨, 
- 28', Gonzalez D. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 2 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽, 
- 62', 2 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽, 
- 66', 3 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽, 
- 70',  🟨, 
- 76',  🟨, 
- 76',  🟥, 
- 89',  🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Mérida AD 56.5%
 | Draw 26.2%
 | Arenteiro 17.4%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Mérida AD - Arenteiro Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.72 ↓ (2.05)
 | 3.79 ↑ (3.2)
 | 5.91 ↑ (3.49)
 | 1.5% (8.8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- Mérida AD has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Arenteiro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Mérida AD is the team to beat.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Arenteiro?
                    
                    
                        
                            Mérida AD has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Arenteiro won against Mérida AD?
                    
                    
                        
                             Arenteiro has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Arenteiro were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Mérida AD                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Arenteiro                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Tenerife | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 | 
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 17 | 
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 | 
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 | 
| 5 | Barakaldo | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 | 
| 6 | Real Aviles | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 14 | 
| 7 | Zamora | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 | 
| 8 | CF Talavera | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 | 
| 9 | Lugo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6:5 | 1 | 12 | 
| 10 | Guadalajara | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | 
| 11 | Pontevedra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 12 | 
| 12 | Ponferradina | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 | 
| 13 | Cacereno | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 | 
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 | 
| 15 | Arenteiro | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 | 
| 16 | Unionistas | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 | 
| 17 | Osasuna B | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 | 
| 18 | Merida AD | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 | 
| 19 | Ath Bilbao B | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 | 
| 20 | Ourense CF | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 | 
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