Result
3:1
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽,
- 4', Lancho J. 🟨,
- 28', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 2 - 0, Garcia A. ⚽,
- 62', 2 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽,
- 66', 3 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽,
- 70', 🟨,
- 76', 🟨,
- 76', 🟥,
- 89', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mérida AD
56.5% | Draw
26.2% | Arenteiro
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mérida AD's performance.Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenteiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-11.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mérida AD that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenteiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mérida AD - Arenteiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(2.05) |
3.79 ↑
(3.2) |
5.91 ↑
(3.49) |
1.5%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- Mérida AD has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Arenteiro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Mérida AD is the team to beat.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Arenteiro?
Mérida AD has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arenteiro won against Mérida AD?
Arenteiro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Arenteiro were as follows:
Latest results of Mérida AD
Latest results of Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 45:13 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 48 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 40 |
| 4 | Ath Bilbao B | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 5 | AD Merida | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 6 | Real Madrid B | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:27 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Lugo | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 27:22 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Unionistas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 34:30 | 4 | 36 |
| 12 | Zamora | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 31 |
| 14 | Arenas Getxo | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 30 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Cacereno | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Arenteiro | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Guadalajara | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 22:39 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 20 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
