Ceuta vs Mérida AD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
35
Corner Kicks
37
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
66
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
31
Corner Kicks
37
Goalkeeper Saves
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', Falcon E. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Kone K. ,
  • 41', Rodri 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Rodri , Aquino D. ,
  • 47', Nabian H. 🟨,
  • 56', Caparros A. 🟨,
  • 60', Redruello Nimo C. 🟨,
  • 63', Falcon E. , Beltran L. ,
  • 63', Athuman I. , Eslava J. ,
  • 63', Nabian H. , Pareja Alvarez L. ,
  • 67', Escudero A. , Bellotti M. ,
  • 68', Beneit R. 🟨,
  • 78', Eslava J. 🟨,
  • 78', Beneit R. , Busi ,
  • 82', Bonaque M. , Prevedini M. ,
  • 82', Jamelli , Herranz Corral V. ,
  • 90+3', Zalazar K. , Rodriguez C. ,

Chances of winning


Ceuta
54.2%
Draw
25.2%
Mérida AD
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 27.1% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 25.5% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Ceuta - Mérida AD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.75)
    3.66
    (3.39)
    4.5
    (4.49)
    8.2%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ceuta - Mérida AD?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Mérida AD (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mérida AD (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 1.
    • Ceuta is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mérida AD is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Ceuta is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Ceuta will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ceuta won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ceuta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceuta - Mérida AD were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Mérida AD - Ceuta 1:1
    25.05.2024 Mérida AD - Ceuta 3:2
    17.12.2023 Ceuta - Mérida AD 1:1
    02.04.2023 Ceuta - Mérida AD 1:0
    20.11.2022 Mérida AD - Ceuta 2:0
    Latest results of Ceuta
    19.04.2025 Ceuta - Marbella 3:1
    12.04.2025 Real Murcia - Ceuta 1:1
    06.04.2025 Ceuta - Alcoyano 1:0
    28.03.2025 Intercity - Ceuta 1:2
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    27.04.2025 Mérida AD - Antequera 3:0
    20.04.2025 Fuenlabrada - Mérida AD 1:1
    13.04.2025 Hércules - Mérida AD 0:0
    06.04.2025 Mérida AD - Sevilla B 2:1
    30.03.2025 Alcoyano - Mérida AD 2:3
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sabadell291412340:152554
    2Atl. Madrid B29149643:261751
    3Eldense291311541:281350
    4CE Europa291211643:34947
    5Villarreal B291111738:251344
    6Teruel29119922:23-142
    7Antequera291181033:32141
    8Algeciras291181030:30041
    9Alcorcon29913727:25240
    10Hercules291010933:32140
    11FC Cartagena SAD291010925:28-340
    12Torremolinos29912837:37039
    13UD Ibiza291081130:28238
    14Murcia29991126:29-336
    15Tarazona298101123:30-734
    16Gimnastic29971331:39-834
    17Marbella29771524:35-1128
    18Betis B29771532:48-1628
    19Sanluqueno29761625:42-1727
    20Sevilla FC B294101515:32-1722

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation