Mérida AD vs Ponferradina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
24/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
43
Shots on target
20
Corner Kicks
32
Yellow Cards
55
Total shots
43
Shots on target
20
Shots off target
23
Corner Kicks
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', 🟨,
  • 35', 🟨,
  • 36', 🟨,
  • 39', 🟨,
  • 39', 🟨,
  • 43', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 87', 🟨,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
41.9%
Draw
30%
Ponferradina
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 30% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 30.7% 33%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mérida AD's performance.
  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponferradina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Mérida AD - Ponferradina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.56)
    3.11
    (3.1)
    3.26
    (2.75)
    7.3%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Mérida AD will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife25183445:133257
    2Celta Vigo B25146541:301148
    3Pontevedra251010532:201240
    4Ath Bilbao B25116828:28039
    5AD Merida25115935:33238
    6Real Madrid B25115932:33-138
    7Barakaldo25910633:27637
    8Lugo25910625:22337
    9Racing Club Ferrol251141029:28137
    10Ponferradina25106927:22536
    11Unionistas25106934:30436
    12Zamora2598832:30235
    13Real Aviles25941237:43-631
    14Arenas Getxo25931328:36-830
    15Ourense CF25771128:31-328
    16Cacereno25691022:31-927
    17CF Talavera25741425:36-1125
    18Arenteiro25661323:31-824
    19Guadalajara25661322:39-1724
    20Osasuna B25481317:32-1520

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