Ponferradina vs Mérida AD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
04/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
73
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
35
Total shots
126
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
53
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 🟨,
  • 23', 🟨,
  • 35', 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Undabarrena E. ,
  • 40', Undabarrena E. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 🟨,
  • 45+5', 2 - 0, Slavy ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Pareja L. , Jacobo R. ,
  • 46', Gomes R. , Hallsson S. ,
  • 64', Geovanny , Dibrani B. ,
  • 64', El Ftouhi S. , Doncel C. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Hallsson S. ,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 73', Slavy , Ferrer P. ,
  • 73', Esquerdo V. , Keita A. ,
  • 80', Lancho J. , Dominguez J. ,
  • 81', Hallsson S. 🟨,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Ferrer P. ,
  • 89', Koke , Cortes J. ,
  • 89', Vazquez B. , Jorrin M. ,
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Ferrer P. ,
  • 90+3', Valle B. , Moran E. ,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
44.7%
Draw
30.2%
Mérida AD
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 28.1% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 27.6% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Ponferradina - Mérida AD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.94)
    3.02
    (3.31)
    3.64
    (3.86)
    8.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Mérida AD?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 8)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Mérida AD may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ponferradina is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ponferradina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Mérida AD were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Mérida AD - Ponferradina 0:0
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife31198451:183365
    2Celta Vigo B31159747:42554
    3Ponferradina311381035:251047
    4Barakaldo311211840:32847
    5Real Madrid B311371146:41546
    6Zamora311210942:37546
    7Pontevedra311113735:231246
    8Lugo311112830:30045
    9Unionistas311281144:42244
    10Ath Bilbao B311281133:35-244
    11AD Merida311281141:44-344
    12Arenas Getxo311351338:42-444
    13Racing Club Ferrol311261335:36-142
    14Real Aviles311071445:53-837
    15CF Talavera31981432:40-835
    16Guadalajara31981435:46-1135
    17Ourense CF318101332:35-334
    18Cacereno316131229:41-1231
    19Osasuna B31791523:37-1430
    20Arenteiro31681728:42-1426

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