Result
4:1
04/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
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| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
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| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 🟨,
- 23', 🟨,
- 35', 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Undabarrena E. ⚽,
- 40', Undabarrena E. 🟨,
- 45+1', 🟨,
- 45+5', 2 - 0, Slavy ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Pareja L. ↓, Jacobo R. ↑,
- 46', Gomes R. ↓, Hallsson S. ↑,
- 64', Geovanny ↓, Dibrani B. ↑,
- 64', El Ftouhi S. ↓, Doncel C. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Hallsson S. ⚽,
- 73', 🟨,
- 73', Slavy ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
- 73', Esquerdo V. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
- 80', Lancho J. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
- 81', Hallsson S. 🟨,
- 84', 3 - 1, Ferrer P. ⚽,
- 89', Koke ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
- 89', Vazquez B. ↓, Jorrin M. ↑,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Ferrer P. ⚽,
- 90+3', Valle B. ↓, Moran E. ↑,
- 90+9', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ponferradina 44.7% | Draw 30.2% | Mérida AD 25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Ponferradina - Mérida AD Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.07 ↑ (1.94) |
3.02 ↓ (3.31) |
3.64 ↓ (3.86) |
8.9% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Mérida AD?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 8)
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Mérida AD may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ponferradina is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ponferradina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Mérida AD?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Ponferradina?
Mérida AD has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Mérida AD were as follows:
24.10.2025
Mérida AD
-
Ponferradina
0:0
Latest results of Ponferradina
Latest results of Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 51:18 | 33 | 65 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47:42 | 5 | 54 |
| 3 | Ponferradina | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 35:25 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 46:41 | 5 | 46 |
| 6 | Zamora | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | Lugo | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 45 |
| 9 | Unionistas | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao B | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 32:40 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28:42 | -14 | 26 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation