Result
2:1
28/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', Concha D. 🟨,
- 11', 1 - 0, El Ftouhi S. ⚽,
- 15', El Ftouhi S. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Escobar A. ⚽,
- 44', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
- 45+4', 2 - 1, Doncel C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Concha D. ↓, Noriega J. ↑,
- 60', Escobar A. ↓, Azkune E. ↑,
- 60', Doncel C. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 60', Jacobo R. ↓, Beneit R. ↑,
- 75', El Ftouhi S. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
- 75', Chiqui ↓, Hallsson S. ↑,
- 75', Artetxe M. ↓, Miguel ↑,
- 75', Tejera S. ↓, Dacosta R. ↑,
- 84', Gimenez A. 🟨,
- 85', Lancho J. ↓, Pareja L. ↑,
- 87', Alvaro J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 88', 🟨,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+2', Pujol E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mérida AD
39.5% | Draw
30.6% | Ferrol
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Mérida AD - Ferrol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.39) |
3.01 ↓
(3.04) |
3.11 ↑
(3.07) |
7.7%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mérida AD - Ferrol?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Ferrol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mérida AD won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Mérida AD won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Ferrol?
Mérida AD has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Mérida AD?
Ferrol has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Ferrol were as follows:
29.11.2025
Ferrol
-
Mérida AD
2:2
09.04.2023
Mérida AD
-
Ferrol
2:1
27.11.2022
Ferrol
-
Mérida AD
1:1
Latest results of Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 52:19 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52:42 | 10 | 57 |
| 3 | Real Madrid B | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 49 |
| 4 | Zamora | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 43:37 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 38:24 | 14 | 49 |
| 6 | Barakaldo | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Ponferradina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 36:28 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 47 |
| 9 | Lugo | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao B | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 33:36 | -3 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 36:37 | -1 | 37 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 32:41 | -9 | 35 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 35 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 34 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 23:38 | -15 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29:43 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
