Ponferradina vs Mérida AD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
04/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
73
Corner kicks
45
Yellow cards
35
Total shots
126
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
53
Corner kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 🟨,
  • 23', 🟨,
  • 35', 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Undabarrena E. ,
  • 40', Undabarrena E. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 🟨,
  • 45+5', 2 - 0, Slavy ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Pareja L. , Jacobo R. ,
  • 46', Gomes R. , Hallsson S. ,
  • 64', Geovanny , Dibrani B. ,
  • 64', El Ftouhi S. , Doncel C. ,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Hallsson S. ,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 73', Slavy , Ferrer P. ,
  • 73', Esquerdo V. , Keita A. ,
  • 80', Lancho J. , Dominguez J. ,
  • 81', Hallsson S. 🟨,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Ferrer P. ,
  • 89', Koke , Cortes J. ,
  • 89', Vazquez B. , Jorrin M. ,
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Ferrer P. ,
  • 90+3', Valle B. , Moran E. ,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
44.7%
Draw
30.2%
Mérida AD
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 28.1% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 27.6% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Ponferradina - Mérida AD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.94)
    3.02
    (3.31)
    3.64
    (3.86)
    8.9%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Mérida AD?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 8)
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Mérida AD may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ponferradina is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ponferradina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Mérida AD were as follows:
    24.10.2025 Mérida AD - Ponferradina 0:0
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife342010455:203570
    2Celta Vigo B341710756:431361
    3Zamora341510946:38855
    4Real Madrid B341581154:431153
    5Pontevedra341314743:261753
    6Ponferradina341491138:29951
    7Barakaldo341312944:341051
    8Unionistas3413101147:44349
    9AD Merida341391244:47-348
    10Arenas Getxo341451540:49-947
    11Lugo3411131032:37-546
    12Racing Club Ferrol341371438:43-546
    13Ath Bilbao B341291334:38-445
    14Real Aviles341191449:56-742
    15Ourense CF349111438:40-238
    16CF Talavera34991633:43-1036
    17Guadalajara34991637:52-1536
    18Cacereno347141331:45-1435
    19Osasuna B34891724:39-1533
    20Arenteiro34691929:46-1727

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