Recreativo Huelva vs Mérida AD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Recreativo Huelva - Mérida AD
Result
0:1
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
60
Yellow Cards
41
Total shots
157
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
114
Corner Kicks
60
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Doncel C. ,
  • 33', Del Pozo D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Juanjo 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', Juancho V. 🟨,
  • 55', Ganet P. , Miki ,
  • 55', Alvaro J. , Beltran L. ,
  • 57', Vega I. , Almeida J. ,
  • 62', Davinchi 🟨,
  • 65', Juancho V. , Becken C. ,
  • 65', Armero S. , Aparisi K. ,
  • 73', Doncel C. , Carvalho M. ,
  • 73', Juanjo , Busi ,
  • 79', Eslava J. , Nabian H. ,
  • 84', Luis Alcalde 🟨,
  • 86', Luis Alcalde , Caballero P. ,
  • 86', Davinchi , Limon A. ,

Chances of winning


Recreativo Huelva
26.9%
Draw
28.4%
Mérida AD
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 27.4% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 27.3% 39.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Recreativo Huelva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Recreativo Huelva's form might have worsened.
  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mérida AD's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Recreativo Huelva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mérida AD, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Recreativo Huelva - Mérida AD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.36
    (2.77)
    3.2
    (3.36)
    2.11
    (2.34)
    8.5%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recreativo won 1.
    • Recreativo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Mérida AD has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Recreativo won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Recreativo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Recreativo Huelva - Mérida AD were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Mérida AD - Recreativo Huelva 3:3
    24.03.2024 Recreativo Huelva - Mérida AD 3:0
    26.11.2023 Mérida AD - Recreativo Huelva 0:0
    05.08.2023 Mérida AD - Recreativo Huelva 2:0
    Latest results of Recreativo Huelva
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    03.05.2025 Ceuta - Mérida AD 1:0
    27.04.2025 Mérida AD - Antequera 3:0
    20.04.2025 Fuenlabrada - Mérida AD 1:1
    13.04.2025 Hércules - Mérida AD 0:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid B632110:5511
    2CE Europa63219:6311
    3Sanluqueno62409:4510
    4Gimnastic631210:8210
    5Sabadell52305:329
    6Alcorcon62315:419
    7Eldense62316:7-19
    8Algeciras62225:508
    9FC Cartagena SAD52215:6-18
    10UD Ibiza62226:8-28
    11Marbella61415:507
    12Tarazona52123:307
    13Teruel51314:406
    14Torremolinos61327:8-16
    15Murcia61325:6-16
    16Sevilla FC B61234:6-25
    17Villarreal B61236:9-35
    18Hercules51133:5-24
    19Betis B60424:7-34
    20Antequera50323:5-23

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation