Result
1:2
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 35
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 17', 0 - 1, Twamley L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 19', 0 - 2, Ryan-Phillips C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 74', 1 - 2, Glennon W. ⚽,
- 90+7', Garrick J. 🟥,
- 90+11', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Leamington
22.8% | Draw
25.2% | Merthyr Town
52% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Leamington - Merthyr Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.04 ↑
(4.03) |
3.68 ↓
(4.1) |
1.78 ↑
(1.71) |
8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Leamington is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Merthyr's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Leamington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Merthyr is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leamington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leamington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Leamington won against Merthyr Town?
Leamington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Leamington?
Merthyr Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leamington - Merthyr Town were as follows:
25.11.2025
Merthyr Town
-
Leamington
4:1
Latest results of Leamington
Latest results of Merthyr Town
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 82:35 | 47 | 75 |
| 2 | South Shields | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 74:28 | 46 | 74 |
| 3 | Merthyr Town | 36 | 20 | 3 | 13 | 80:63 | 17 | 63 |
| 4 | Darlington | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 64:47 | 17 | 56 |
| 5 | Kidderminster | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 44:35 | 9 | 56 |
| 6 | Radcliffe | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 63:55 | 8 | 55 |
| 7 | AFC Telford | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 67:46 | 21 | 53 |
| 8 | Scarborough | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 49:44 | 5 | 53 |
| 9 | Macclesfield | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 56:46 | 10 | 52 |
| 10 | Chester | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 52:57 | -5 | 50 |
| 11 | Marine | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 48 |
| 12 | Spennymoor | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 44:57 | -13 | 46 |
| 13 | Buxton | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:49 | 7 | 45 |
| 14 | Curzon Ashton | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 56:63 | -7 | 45 |
| 15 | Chorley | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 54:52 | 2 | 42 |
| 16 | Worksop | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 45:62 | -17 | 41 |
| 17 | Southport | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 47:56 | -9 | 39 |
| 18 | Bedford | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 55:65 | -10 | 39 |
| 19 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 41:48 | -7 | 38 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 42:54 | -12 | 35 |
| 21 | Peterborough Sports | 35 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 41:69 | -28 | 33 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30:55 | -25 | 32 |
| 23 | Hereford | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 28 |
| 24 | Leamington | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 23:59 | -36 | 19 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
