Result
1:2
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 35
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 17', 0 - 1, Twamley L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 19', 0 - 2, Ryan-Phillips C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 74', 1 - 2, Glennon W. ⚽,
- 90+7', Garrick J. 🟥,
- 90+11', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Leamington
22.8% | Draw
25.2% | Merthyr Town
52% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Leamington - Merthyr Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.04 ↑
(4.03) |
3.68 ↓
(4.1) |
1.78 ↑
(1.71) |
8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Leamington is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Merthyr's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Leamington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Merthyr is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leamington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leamington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Leamington won against Merthyr Town?
Leamington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Leamington?
Merthyr Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leamington - Merthyr Town were as follows:
25.11.2025
Merthyr Town
-
Leamington
4:1
Latest results of Leamington
Latest results of Merthyr Town
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 104:49 | 55 | 94 |
| 2 | South Shields | 43 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 94:40 | 54 | 91 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 43 | 22 | 12 | 9 | 67:48 | 19 | 78 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 42 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 78:60 | 18 | 76 |
| 5 | Scarborough | 44 | 18 | 15 | 11 | 58:50 | 8 | 69 |
| 6 | Chester | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64:63 | 1 | 69 |
| 7 | Darlington | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 76:64 | 12 | 68 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 43 | 21 | 4 | 18 | 89:79 | 10 | 67 |
| 9 | Buxton | 43 | 20 | 6 | 17 | 73:58 | 15 | 66 |
| 10 | AFC Telford | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 84:62 | 22 | 64 |
| 11 | Spennymoor | 44 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 59:68 | -9 | 64 |
| 12 | Marine | 42 | 18 | 7 | 17 | 57:63 | -6 | 61 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 43 | 17 | 6 | 20 | 73:77 | -4 | 57 |
| 14 | Southport | 43 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 61:65 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Worksop | 44 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 57:72 | -15 | 54 |
| 16 | Chorley | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 63:63 | 0 | 53 |
| 17 | Bedford | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:75 | -11 | 51 |
| 18 | Curzon Ashton | 44 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 64:81 | -17 | 51 |
| 19 | Oxford City | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 56:63 | -7 | 50 |
| 20 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 44 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 55:63 | -8 | 50 |
| 21 | Hereford | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 56:73 | -17 | 45 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 43 | 11 | 12 | 20 | 41:75 | -34 | 45 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports ✔ | 44 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 49:86 | -37 | 38 |
| 24 | Leamington ✔ | 44 | 7 | 8 | 29 | 38:83 | -45 | 29 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Peterborough Sports is Relegated to
Leamington is Relegated to
