Result
4:1
25/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Smerdon N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 55', 2 - 0, Smerdon N. ⚽,
- 71', 3 - 0, Rees R. ⚽,
- 76', 4 - 0, Rees R. ⚽,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Thompson S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Merthyr Town
58.7% | Draw
22.7% | Leamington
18.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Merthyr Town - Leamington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.69) |
4.05 ↑
(3.99) |
4.94 ↑
(4.27) |
8.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - Leamington?
Users Predictions:
Merthyr Town will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Merthyr Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation).
- Merthyr is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Leamington has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Leamington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Merthyr is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Merthyr will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Merthyr won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Leamington?
Merthyr Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leamington won against Merthyr Town?
Leamington has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Leamington were as follows:
Latest results of Merthyr Town
Latest results of Leamington
English National League North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | South Shields | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 66:25 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | AFC Fylde | 29 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 67:33 | 34 | 63 |
| 3 | Merthyr Town | 32 | 18 | 3 | 11 | 68:55 | 13 | 57 |
| 4 | Kidderminster | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 39:34 | 5 | 52 |
| 5 | Radcliffe | 31 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 59:50 | 9 | 49 |
| 6 | Macclesfield | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 49:40 | 9 | 48 |
| 7 | AFC Telford | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 61:42 | 19 | 47 |
| 8 | Darlington | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 56:45 | 11 | 47 |
| 9 | Scarborough | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 43:39 | 4 | 46 |
| 10 | Curzon Ashton | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 51:54 | -3 | 42 |
| 11 | Marine | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36:44 | -8 | 42 |
| 12 | Buxton | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 52:42 | 10 | 41 |
| 13 | Chorley | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 52:46 | 6 | 41 |
| 14 | Chester | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 45:51 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Worksop | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
| 16 | Spennymoor | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 37:50 | -13 | 37 |
| 17 | Kingu2019s Lynn | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 38:41 | -3 | 35 |
| 18 | Bedford | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 48:55 | -7 | 33 |
| 19 | Peterborough Sports | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 38:57 | -19 | 33 |
| 20 | Southport | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 39:53 | -14 | 31 |
| 21 | Oxford City | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 28 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25:49 | -24 | 26 |
| 23 | Hereford | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 22 |
| 24 | Leamington | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 22:46 | -24 | 19 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
