Result
2:3
07/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 31
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 11', 1 - 0, Rai K. ⚽,
- 25', 2 - 0, Handley T. ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 1, Clarke W. ⚽,
- 38', 2 - 2, Popoola A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+5', 2 - 3, Carr T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Merthyr Town
37.1% | Draw
24.5% | Chorley
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merthyr Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chorley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Merthyr Town - Chorley Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.24) |
3.78 ↓
(3.89) |
2.41 ↓
(2.68) |
7.9%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Merthyr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Chorley has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Chorley?
Merthyr Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chorley won against Merthyr Town?
Chorley has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Chorley were as follows:
25.10.2025
Chorley
-
Merthyr Town
0:2
Latest results of Merthyr Town
Latest results of Chorley
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Buxton (5) | Scarborough (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 3 | Kidderminster (3) | Bye | |
| 4 | Macclesfield (4) | Chester (7) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Buxton (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Kidderminster (3) | Macclesfield (4) | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | South Shields (2) | Kidderminster (3) | |
