Result
1:2
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- National League North - Round 35
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 17', 0 - 1, Twamley L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 19', 0 - 2, Ryan-Phillips C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 74', 1 - 2, Glennon W. ⚽,
- 90+7', Garrick J. 🟥,
- 90+11', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Leamington
22.8% | Draw
25.2% | Merthyr Town
52% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Leamington - Merthyr Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.04 ↑
(4.03) |
3.68 ↓
(4.1) |
1.78 ↑
(1.71) |
8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Leamington is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Merthyr's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Leamington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Merthyr is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leamington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leamington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Leamington won against Merthyr Town?
Leamington has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Merthyr Town won against Leamington?
Merthyr Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leamington - Merthyr Town were as follows:
25.11.2025
Merthyr Town
-
Leamington
4:1
Latest results of Leamington
Latest results of Merthyr Town
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Bye | |
| 2 | Buxton (5) | Scarborough (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 3 | Kidderminster (3) | Bye | |
| 4 | Macclesfield (4) | Chester (7) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | South Shields (2) | Buxton (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Kidderminster (3) | Macclesfield (4) | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | South Shields (2) | Kidderminster (3) | |
