Merthyr Town vs Oxford City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Cox C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 1 - 1, Bearne J. ,

Chances of winning


Merthyr Town
40.9%
Draw
25.7%
Oxford City
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 23.3% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 24% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Merthyr Town's form might have worsened.
  • Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Merthyr Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Merthyr Town - Oxford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (1.99)
    3.57
    (3.98)
    2.77
    (3.1)
    8.5%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Merthyr Town - Oxford City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19).
    • Recent form of Merthyr has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Oxford City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Oxford City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merthyr won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Merthyr Town - Oxford City were as follows:
    26.12.2025 Oxford City - Merthyr Town 1:3
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    10.03.2026 Merthyr Town - Chester 1:2
    07.03.2026 Radcliffe - Merthyr Town 1:3
    28.02.2026 Merthyr Town - Buxton 1:3
    Latest results of Oxford City
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1South Shields (2)Bye
    2Buxton (5)Scarborough (6)4 : 2
    3Kidderminster (3)Bye
    4Macclesfield (4)Chester (7)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1South Shields (2)Buxton (5)1 : 0
    2Kidderminster (3)Macclesfield (4)3 : 1

    Final
    1South Shields (2)Kidderminster (3)