Worksop Town vs Merthyr Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:5
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 26

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 3)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Waterfall L. ,
  • 19', 2 - 0, Redford V. ,
  • 22', 2 - 1, Cox C. ,
  • 31', 2 - 2, Cox C. ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 3, Smerdon N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', 3 - 3, Martin A. ,
  • 63', 3 - 4, Twamley L. ,
  • 82', Martin A. 🟥,
  • 90', 3 - 5, Cox C. ,

Chances of winning


Worksop Town
38.6%
Draw
24.9%
Merthyr Town
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 25.5% 40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 25.1% 41.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worksop Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Worksop Town - Merthyr Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.69)
    3.68
    (3.56)
    2.53
    (2.23)
    8.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Worksop Town - Merthyr Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Worksop (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Merthyr (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Worksop (votes: 1 - 50%). Merthyr (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In recent matches, Worksop has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Merthyr is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Worksop won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Worksop Town - Merthyr Town were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Merthyr Town - Worksop Town 2:0
    Latest results of Worksop Town
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1AFC Fylde39274894:425285
    2South Shields39259585:364984
    3Kidderminster371812754:391566
    4Merthyr Town402131687:731466
    5Darlington391981271:531865
    6Macclesfield371971168:551364
    7Scarborough4016141055:47862
    8AFC Telford4016121277:542360
    9Buxton391761665:531257
    10Chester4015121358:62-457
    11Radcliffe391751765:63256
    12Marine371671451:55-455
    13Spennymoor381591452:63-1154
    14Southport4013121555:61-651
    15Chorley3913101660:59149
    16Curzon Ashton4012111759:74-1547
    17Worksop401381952:69-1747
    18Kingu2019s Lynn3911131547:53-646
    19Bedford4011101956:70-1443
    20Oxford City391191949:59-1042
    21Hereford351081748:63-1538
    22Alfreton379101836:67-3137
    23Peterborough Sports401072343:75-3237
    24Leamington39582628:70-4223

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation