Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 4
- Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Canada | beIN Connect |
China | Migu |
Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+ 5, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.75 | 2.05 |
Ball Possession |
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55% | 45% |
Total shots |
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9 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 3 |
Passes |
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88% (475/537) | 88% (388/443) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.75 | 2.05 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.30 | 1.83 |
Total shots |
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9 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
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1 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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7 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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12 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 2 |
Offsides |
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1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 10 |
Passes |
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88% (475/537) | 88% (388/443) |
Long passes |
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52% (23/44) | 65% (24/37) |
Passes in final third |
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70% (83/118) | 65% (54/83) |
Crosses |
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13% (2/16) | 36% (4/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.48 | 1.42 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 13 |
Fouls |
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10 | 7 |
Tackles |
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72% (18/25) | 65% (15/23) |
Duels won |
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43 | 45 |
Clearances |
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14 | 32 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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1.83 | 3.30 |
Goals prevented |
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0.83 | 2.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Gbamin J. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
- 45+2', Belkebla H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Cherif S. ↓, Machine L. ↑,
- 61', Hanin F. ↓, Ekomie J. ↑,
- 64', Diallo H. (Pen),
- 71', Mouton L. ↓, Abdelli H. ↑,
- 72', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
- 73', Sane I. ↓, Sabaly C. ↑,
- 80', Raolisoa L. ↓, Kalumba J. ↑,
- 85', Stambouli B. ↓, Deminguet J. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Abdelli H. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Metz 29.8% | Draw 47.3% | Angers 23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metz's form might have worsened.Angers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Angers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+15.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angers than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Metz - Angers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.16 ↑ (2.18) |
2.94 ↓ (3.48) |
6.64 ↑ (3.32) |
-31.5% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Metz - Angers?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Angers will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Angers: 24.9% – 69.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 3 - 50%). Angers (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2.
- Recent form of Metz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Angers is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Metz has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Angers has had a series of home games.
- Metz will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J.
(Knee Injury)
Mbaye M.
(Foot Injury)
Mboula U.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sane S.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Angers: Abdelli H.
(Hernia)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Metz won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.7:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Angers?
Metz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Angers won against Metz?
Angers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Angers were as follows:
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Marseille | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
2 | PSG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 15 |
3 | Lyon | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 15 |
4 | Lens | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
5 | Monaco | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Strasbourg | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 10 |
8 | Paris FC | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
9 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
10 | Brest | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
11 | Toulouse | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
12 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
13 | Lorient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:16 | -7 | 7 |
14 | Nantes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
15 | Auxerre | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
16 | Le Havre | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
17 | Angers | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
18 | Metz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2