Result
1:3
15/02/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 22
- Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (480/551) | 82% (276/335) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (480/551) | 82% (276/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (32/48) | 43% (18/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (101/137) | 81% (83/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.02 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 78% (18/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Sane S. (Own goal),
- 6', Kouao K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
- 62', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
- 62', Kouao K. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
- 66', Michal L. 🟨,
- 70', Hein G. ↓, Kvilitaia G. ↑,
- 72', Mara S. ↓, Casimir J. ↑,
- 73', Faivre R. ↓, Coulibaly L. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 2, Sinayoko L. ⚽, Ahamada N. (A),
- 78', Casimir J. 🟨,
- 82', Sy L. ↓, Senaya M. ↑,
- 82', Ahamada N. ↓, Diousse A. ↑,
- 86', Abuashvili G. ↓, Mbala N. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 3, Danois K. ⚽, Sinayoko L. (A),
- 90+1', Danois K. ↓, Zaddy Y. ↑,
- 90+1', Sinayoko L. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 3, Mbala N. ⚽, Toure A. (A),
Chances of winning
Metz
31.6% | Draw
31.3% | Auxerre
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Metz - Auxerre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.79) |
3.05 ↑
(2.83) |
2.58 ↓
(2.88) |
4.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Metz - Auxerre?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Auxerre will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.5% – 81.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Auxerre (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Auxerre (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Auxerre (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Metz (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Auxerre (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 0.
- Metz has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Auxerre has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Auxerre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Metz: Gbamin J.
(Red Card)
Guerti I.
(Injury)
Lawson Y.
(Injury)
Mangondo J.
(Knee Injury)
Stambouli B.
(Injury)
Sy P.
(Concussion)
Traore B.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N.
(Knee Injury)
El Azzouzi O.
(Injury)
Namaso D.
(Yellow Cards)
Sierralta F.
(Injury)
Siwe T.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Auxerre?
Metz has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auxerre won against Metz?
Auxerre has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Auxerre were as follows:
07.12.2025
Auxerre
-
Metz
3:1
09.12.2022
Metz
-
Auxerre
1:5
Latest results of Auxerre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 54:22 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 40:27 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Monaco | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 43 |
| 7 | Rennes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 37 |
| 9 | Lorient | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Brest | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 34 |
| 12 | Angers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 19 |
| 17 | Nantes | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22:42 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
