Auxerre vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
07/12/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 15
  • Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 8
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.56
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
84% (286/340)89% (483/544)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.650.56
xG on target (xGOT)
2.120.77
Total shots
145
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
219
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
84% (286/340)89% (483/544)
Long passes
49% (24/49)58% (25/43)
Passes in final third
72% (71/99)66% (64/97)
Crosses
45% (5/11)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.54
Throw-ins
1221
Fouls
1012
Tackles
72% (13/18)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4738
Clearances
2522
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.772.12
Goals prevented
-0.23-0.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Sinayoko L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 39', 2 - 0, El Azzouzi O. , Mara S. (A),
  • 45', Matondo R. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 2 - 1, Hein G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Asoro J. , Diallo H. ,
  • 68', Tsitaishvili G. , Sane I. ,
  • 68', Sabaly C. , Mbaye M. ,
  • 73', Oppegard F. , Mensah G. ,
  • 73', Mara S. , Casimir J. ,
  • 75', Deminguet J. 🟨,
  • 80', Deminguet J. , Toure A. ,
  • 83', Mensah G. 🟨,
  • 84', Traore B. , Madjo B. ,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Danois K. , Danny Namaso (A),
  • 90+4', El Azzouzi O. , Diousse A. ,
  • 90+4', Sinayoko L. , Cissokho M. ,

Chances of winning


Auxerre
47%
Draw
27.7%
Metz
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 26.4% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 27.4% 24.8%

Auxerre - Metz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.03
(1.97)
3.45
(3.58)
3.75
(3.67)
4.9%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Auxerre - Metz?
  • Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (32 of 35 users predict this - 91.43%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.16%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Auxerre will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 3.
    • Auxerre has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Metz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Auxerre could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Ankle Injury) Owusu E. (Injury) Senaya M. (Injury) Siwe T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Sy P. (Concussion)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Auxerre won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Auxerre won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Auxerre - Metz were as follows:
    09.12.2022 Metz - Auxerre 1:5
    Latest results of Auxerre
    29.11.2025 Paris FC - Auxerre 1:1
    23.11.2025 Auxerre - Lyon 0:0
    09.11.2025 Angers - Auxerre 2:0
    29.10.2025 Strasbourg - Auxerre 3:0
    Latest results of Metz
    28.11.2025 Metz - Rennes 0:1
    23.11.2025 Brest - Metz 3:2
    09.11.2025 Metz - Nice 2:1
    02.11.2025 Nantes - Metz 0:2
    29.10.2025 Metz - Lens 2:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG20153243:162748
    2Lens20151434:161846
    3Marseille20123546:222439
    4Lyon20123533:201339
    5Lille20102834:30432
    6Rennes2087530:31-131
    7Strasbourg2093833:25830
    8Toulouse2086631:23830
    9Lorient2077627:31-428
    10Monaco2083932:33-127
    11Angers2075821:25-426
    12Brest2065926:33-723
    13Nice20641027:38-1122
    14Paris FC2056926:34-821
    15Le Havre2048816:25-920
    16Nantes20351219:36-1714
    17Auxerre20341314:29-1513
    18Metz20331421:46-2512

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