Metz vs Dunkerque – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Metz - Dunkerque
Result
1:0
17/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Relegation - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.54
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
107
Passes
85% (369/435)71% (195/274)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.400.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.420.69
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
107
Touches in opposition box
3615
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
85% (369/435)71% (195/274)
Long passes
60% (24/40)30% (14/47)
Passes in final third
77% (136/176)40% (24/60)
Crosses
31% (10/32)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.37
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
1516
Tackles
55% (6/11)73% (16/22)
Duels won
5457
Clearances
2045
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.690.42
Goals prevented
0.690.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Raghouber U. ↓, Linguet A. ↑,
  • 30', Deminguet J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Kouao K. 🟨,
  • 49', Courtet G. 🟨,
  • 56', Abner F. 🟨,
  • 59', Sangante O. 🟥,
  • 60', Sasso V. 🟨,
  • 63', Skytta N. ↓, Ba A. ↑,
  • 64', Yassine G. ↓, Kondo G. ↑,
  • 68', Diallo P. A. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
  • 68', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
  • 72', Deminguet J. ↓, Stambouli B. ↑,
  • 77', Courtet G. ↓, Bammou Y. ↑,
  • 77', Bardeli E. ↓, Sekongo A. ↑,
  • 85', Kouao K. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
  • 90+3', 1 - 0, Bammou Y. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Metz
49.6%		Draw
27%		Dunkerque
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 24.6% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 24.2% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
    •

    Metz - Dunkerque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.91 ↑
    (1.78)    		 3.52 ↓
    (3.86)    		 4.07 ↓
    (4.33)    		 5.5%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Metz - Dunkerque?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Metz will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Metz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Metz is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Metz: Asoro J. (Injury) Deminguet J. (Injury) Jallow A. (Inactive) Oukidja A. (Inactive) Sane S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Dunkerque: Al Saad M. (Inactive) Essimi M. (Inactive) Fortuna N. (Inactive) Ortola A. (Inactive) Pitu A. (Inactive) Queiros D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Metz: Sane I. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Metz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Metz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Dunkerque were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Dunkerque - Metz 2:3
    09.12.2024 Metz - Dunkerque 2:0
    Latest results of Metz
    10.05.2025 Laval - Metz 2:3 ✺
    02.05.2025 Metz - Rodez 3:3 ✺
    26.04.2025 Pau - Metz 2:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Metz - Red Star 2:2 ✺
    11.04.2025 Martigues - Metz 1:4 ✺
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    14.05.2025 Dunkerque - Guingamp 1:0 ✺
    10.05.2025 Red Star - Dunkerque 1:1 ✺
    02.05.2025 Dunkerque - Laval 0:0 ✺
    25.04.2025 Troyes - Dunkerque 1:0 ✺
    18.04.2025 Dunkerque - Grenoble 2:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
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