Result
1:0
17/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Relegation - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Croatia | Arena Sport 6 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.40 | 0.54 |
Ball Possession |
---|
62% | 38% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
85% (369/435) | 71% (195/274) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.40 | 0.54 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.42 | 0.69 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
36 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
6 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
85% (369/435) | 71% (195/274) |
Long passes |
---|
60% (24/40) | 30% (14/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
77% (136/176) | 40% (24/60) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (10/32) | 33% (4/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.01 | 0.37 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
55% (6/11) | 73% (16/22) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 57 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 45 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.69 | 0.42 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.69 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Raghouber U. ↓, Linguet A. ↑,
- 30', Deminguet J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Kouao K. 🟨,
- 49', Courtet G. 🟨,
- 56', Abner F. 🟨,
- 59', Sangante O. 🟥,
- 60', Sasso V. 🟨,
- 63', Skytta N. ↓, Ba A. ↑,
- 64', Yassine G. ↓, Kondo G. ↑,
- 68', Diallo P. A. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
- 68', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
- 72', Deminguet J. ↓, Stambouli B. ↑,
- 77', Courtet G. ↓, Bammou Y. ↑,
- 77', Bardeli E. ↓, Sekongo A. ↑,
- 85', Kouao K. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Bammou Y. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Metz 49.6% | Draw 27% | Dunkerque 23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Metz - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.91 ↑ (1.78) |
3.52 ↓ (3.86) |
4.07 ↓ (4.33) |
5.5% (5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Metz - Dunkerque?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Metz (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Metz will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Metz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Metz is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Metz: Asoro J.
(Injury)
Deminguet J.
(Injury)
Jallow A.
(Inactive)
Oukidja A.
(Inactive)
Sane S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Al Saad M.
(Inactive)
Essimi M.
(Inactive)
Fortuna N.
(Inactive)
Ortola A.
(Inactive)
Pitu A.
(Inactive)
Queiros D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Metz: Sane I.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Metz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Metz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Dunkerque?
Metz has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Metz?
Dunkerque has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Dunkerque were as follows:
15.03.2025
Dunkerque
-
Metz
2:3
09.12.2024
Metz
-
Dunkerque
2:0
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2