Result
1:0
17/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Relegation - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (369/435) | 71% (195/274) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (369/435) | 71% (195/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (24/40) | 30% (14/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (136/176) | 40% (24/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (10/32) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Raghouber U. ↓, Linguet A. ↑,
- 30', Deminguet J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Kouao K. 🟨,
- 49', Courtet G. 🟨,
- 56', Abner F. 🟨,
- 59', Sangante O. 🟥,
- 60', Sasso V. 🟨,
- 63', Skytta N. ↓, Ba A. ↑,
- 64', Yassine G. ↓, Kondo G. ↑,
- 68', Diallo P. A. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
- 68', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
- 72', Deminguet J. ↓, Stambouli B. ↑,
- 77', Courtet G. ↓, Bammou Y. ↑,
- 77', Bardeli E. ↓, Sekongo A. ↑,
- 85', Kouao K. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 0, Bammou Y. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Metz
49.6% | Draw
27% | Dunkerque
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Metz - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.78) |
3.52 ↓
(3.86) |
4.07 ↓
(4.33) |
5.5%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Metz - Dunkerque?
Users Predictions:
Metz will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Metz will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Metz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Metz is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Metz: Asoro J.
(Injury)
Deminguet J.
(Injury)
Jallow A.
(Inactive)
Oukidja A.
(Inactive)
Sane S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Al Saad M.
(Inactive)
Essimi M.
(Inactive)
Fortuna N.
(Inactive)
Ortola A.
(Inactive)
Pitu A.
(Inactive)
Queiros D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Metz: Sane I.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Metz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Metz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Dunkerque?
Metz has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Metz?
Dunkerque has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Dunkerque were as follows:
15.03.2025
Dunkerque
-
Metz
2:3
09.12.2024
Metz
-
Dunkerque
2:0
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
