Metz vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
04/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 7
  • Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255, Sky Sport MIX
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.152.52
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
421
Shots on target
19
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
86% (322/375)92% (587/639)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.152.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.142.73
Total shots
421
Shots on target
19
Shots off target
210
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
111
Shots outside the Box
310
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
834
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
78
Passes
86% (322/375)92% (587/639)
Long passes
48% (19/40)50% (15/30)
Passes in final third
64% (39/61)81% (135/167)
Crosses
15% (2/13)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.222.12
Throw-ins
1710
Fouls
87
Tackles
60% (6/10)69% (9/13)
Duels won
2537
Clearances
1819
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
2.730.14
Goals prevented
-0.270.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Gbamin J. , Colin M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 51', 0 - 1, Paixao I. , Vaz R. (A),
  • 64', Vaz R. , Gouiri A. ,
  • 64', Gomes A. , Balerdi L. ,
  • 69', 0 - 2, O'Riley M. , Gouiri A. (A),
  • 76', 0 - 3, Gouiri A. , O'Riley M. (A),
  • 79', Deminguet J. , Toure A. ,
  • 79', Ballo-Toure F. , Tsitaishvili G. ,
  • 79', Diallo H. , Madjo B. ,
  • 80', Weah T. , Murillo M. ,
  • 80', Paixao I. , Nadir B. ,
  • 85', O'Riley M. , Vermeeren A. ,

Chances of winning


Metz
12.3%
Draw
20.2%
Olympique Marseille
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.5% 21.3% 63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9% 20.5% 65.9%

Metz - Olympique Marseille Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
8.5
(6.12)
4.95
(4.46)
1.47
(1.5)
-0.2%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Metz - Olympique Marseille?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Marseille will win (votes: 24 - 82.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 69.1%96.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 1.
    • Metz has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Marseille is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Metz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Marseille is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Metz: Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mbaye M. (Foot Injury) Mboula U. (Muscle Injury) Stambouli B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Marseille: Kondogbia G. (Calf Injury) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Marseille: Balerdi L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Metz won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    09.02.2024 Olympique Marseille - Metz 1:1
    18.08.2023 Metz - Olympique Marseille 2:2
    Latest results of Metz
    28.09.2025 Metz - Le Havre 0:0
    21.09.2025 Monaco - Metz 5:2
    14.09.2025 Metz - Angers 1:1
    31.08.2025 Paris FC - Metz 3:2
    23.08.2025 Lyon - Metz 3:0
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens16121328:131537
    2PSG16113235:142136
    3Marseille16102436:152132
    4Lille16102433:201332
    5Lyon1683522:16627
    6Rennes1676327:24327
    7Strasbourg1672725:20523
    8Toulouse1665524:19523
    9Monaco1672726:27-123
    10Angers1664617:18-122
    11Brest1654721:27-619
    12Lorient1646619:28-918
    13Nice1652919:29-1017
    14Paris FC1644821:29-816
    15Le Havre1636713:22-915
    16Auxerre16331014:25-1112
    17Nantes1625914:28-1411
    18Metz16321117:37-2011

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          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2