Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 32
- Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.38 | 1.87 |
Ball Possession |
---|
34% | 66% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
83% (265/320) | 88% (563/641) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.38 | 1.87 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.12 | 2.06 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 34 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
83% (265/320) | 88% (563/641) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (25/48) | 58% (38/66) |
Passes in final third |
---|
71% (57/80) | 68% (115/170) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (2/16) | 38% (9/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.02 | 1.84 |
Throw-ins |
---|
8 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
45% (5/11) | 31% (5/16) |
Duels won |
---|
34 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
30 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.06 | 2.12 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.06 | 0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', Toure A. 🟨,
- 53', Traore I. 🟨,
- 55', Mboup P. (Pen),
- 70', Jallow A. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
- 70', Mboula U. ↓, Lo A. ↑,
- 70', Stambouli B. ↓, Diallo P. A. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 0, Mboup P. ⚽, Boutaib K. (A),
- 73', Boutaib K. ↓, Arconte T. ↑,
- 74', Gaspar J. ↓, Bangre M. ↑,
- 74', Mboup P. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
- 78', Gueye I. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
- 78', Kouao K. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
- 78', Ngom O. ↓, Lopy J. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Diallo P. A. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
- 81', Lo A. 🟨,
- 82', 2 - 1, Arconte T. (Pen),
- 85', Beusnard S. ↓, Chahiri M. ↑,
- 85', Mille A. 🟨,
- 87', Van Den Kerkhof K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pau 19.6% | Draw 22.1% | Metz 58.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pau - Metz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.8 ↑ (3.85) |
4.23 ↑ (3.45) |
1.62 ↓ (1.7) |
6.2% (13.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Pau - Metz?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Metz will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Recent matches Pau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Metz is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Metz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Metz is a favorite.
- There will not play in Pau: Bobichon A.
(Ankle Injury)
Kante
(Yellow Cards)
Lopy J.
(Inactive)
Meddah D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Metz: Asoro J.
(Injury)
Stambouli B.
(Inactive)
Sy P.
(Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Pau won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Metz?
Pau has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Pau?
Metz has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Metz were as follows:
04.01.2025
Metz
-
Pau
0:0
08.04.2023
Pau
-
Metz
1:1
01.10.2022
Metz
-
Pau
1:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Grenoble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Mans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Nancy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | St Etienne | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Guingamp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Montpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Laval | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Pau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Rodez | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Annecy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Dunkerque | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Red Star | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National