Pau vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Pau - Metz
Result
2:1
26/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 32
  • Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.381.87
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
1917
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
83% (265/320)88% (563/641)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
3.381.87
xG on target (xGOT)
2.122.06
Total shots
1917
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
107
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
1313
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3134
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
108
Passes
83% (265/320)88% (563/641)
Long passes
52% (25/48)58% (38/66)
Passes in final third
71% (57/80)68% (115/170)
Crosses
13% (2/16)38% (9/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.021.84
Throw-ins
814
Fouls
810
Tackles
45% (5/11)31% (5/16)
Duels won
3443
Clearances
3020
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.062.12
Goals prevented
1.060.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', Toure A. 🟨,
  • 53', Traore I. 🟨,
  • 55', Mboup P. (Pen),
  • 70', Jallow A. , Sane I. ,
  • 70', Mboula U. , Lo A. ,
  • 70', Stambouli B. , Diallo P. A. ,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Mboup P. , Boutaib K. (A),
  • 73', Boutaib K. , Arconte T. ,
  • 74', Gaspar J. , Bangre M. ,
  • 74', Mboup P. , Diawara K. ,
  • 78', Gueye I. , Bokele Mputu M. ,
  • 78', Kouao K. , Van Den Kerkhof K. ,
  • 78', Ngom O. , Lopy J. ,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Diallo P. A. , Udol M. (A),
  • 81', Lo A. 🟨,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Arconte T. (Pen),
  • 85', Beusnard S. , Chahiri M. ,
  • 85', Mille A. 🟨,
  • 87', Van Den Kerkhof K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pau
19.6%
Draw
22.1%
Metz
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.8% 25.5% 51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2% 24.9% 53%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pau - Metz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.8
    (3.85)
    4.23
    (3.45)
    1.62
    (1.7)
    6.2%
    (13.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Pau - Metz?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Metz will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 41.6%98.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Recent matches Pau is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Metz is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Metz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Metz is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Pau: Bobichon A. (Ankle Injury) Kante (Yellow Cards) Lopy J. (Inactive) Meddah D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Metz: Asoro J. (Injury) Stambouli B. (Inactive) Sy P. (Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Pau won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pau won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Metz were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Metz - Pau 0:0
    08.04.2023 Pau - Metz 1:1
    01.10.2022 Metz - Pau 1:0
    Latest results of Pau
    18.04.2025 Ajaccio - Pau 1:1
    11.04.2025 Pau - Clermont 2:2
    05.04.2025 Lorient - Pau 5:0
    28.03.2025 Pau - Annecy 1:0
    14.03.2025 Martigues - Pau 2:2
    Latest results of Metz
    19.04.2025 Metz - Red Star 2:2
    11.04.2025 Martigues - Metz 1:4
    05.04.2025 Caen - Metz 2:2
    28.03.2025 Metz - Troyes 2:1
    15.03.2025 Dunkerque - Metz 2:3
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grenoble00000:000
    2Le Mans00000:000
    3Nancy00000:000
    4St Etienne00000:000
    5Amiens00000:000
    6Bastia00000:000
    7Clermont00000:000
    8Guingamp00000:000
    9Montpellier00000:000
    10Reims00000:000
    11Troyes00000:000
    12Laval00000:000
    13Pau FC00000:000
    14Rodez00000:000
    15Annecy00000:000
    16Dunkerque00000:000
    17Red Star00000:000

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National