México vs Galapagar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 72', 1 - 0, ,
  • 87', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


México
35.5%
Draw
30.1%
Galapagar
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 27.1% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 26.8% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Galapagar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for México than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • México - Galapagar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.36)
    3.02
    (3.35)
    2.65
    (2.65)
    9.9%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • México has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Galapagar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, México won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, México won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between México - Galapagar were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Galapagar - México 3:1
    30.11.2024 México - Galapagar 1:1
    Latest results of México
    16.11.2025 Tres Cantos - México 3:1
    08.11.2025 México - Carabanchel 1:2
    02.11.2025 Móstoles URJC - México 2:1
    19.10.2025 Racing Madrid - México 1:3
    Latest results of Galapagar
    09.11.2025 Tres Cantos - Galapagar 0:0
    02.11.2025 Galapagar - Siello 2:1
    26.10.2025 Carabanchel - Galapagar 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C27158466:363053
    2Las Rozas27148547:291850
    3CD Mostoles27146743:311248
    4AD Torrejon27136844:37745
    5Leganes B27128749:242544
    6Trival Valderas271341037:31643
    7San Sebastian Reyes B27910834:29537
    8Pozuelo de Alarcon27910826:24237
    9Union Adarve271071032:36-437
    10Mexico FC271061134:34036
    11Galapagar27812728:35-736
    12Villaverde San Andres27811825:30-535
    13Alcorcon B27881124:28-432
    14Siello27851426:38-1229
    15Tres Cantos27831624:47-2327
    16Carabanchel27691221:27-627
    17Parla27741622:46-2425
    18Ciudad de Madrid27571527:47-2022

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