Galapagar vs México – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Galapagar - México
Result
3:1
12/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 56', 1 - 1, Menendez G. ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Gil M. ,
  • 88', 3 - 1, Fernandez Morales M. ,

Chances of winning


Galapagar
44.2%
Draw
26.4%
México
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 26.8% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 25.8% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Galapagar's form might have worsened.
  • México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting México's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galapagar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for México, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Galapagar - México Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.79)
    3.44
    (3.38)
    3.1
    (4.03)
    9.9%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 12).
    • Galapagar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches México is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Galapagar is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Galapagar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Galapagar - México were as follows:
    30.11.2024 México - Galapagar 1:1
    Latest results of Galapagar
    06.04.2025 Parla - Galapagar 1:1
    26.03.2025 Alcorcón B - Galapagar 0:0
    23.03.2025 Las Rozas - Galapagar 1:2
    02.03.2025 Galapagar - Torrejón 0:1
    Latest results of México
    05.04.2025 México - Trival Valderas 1:2
    30.03.2025 Aravaca - México 1:1
    23.03.2025 Cala Pozuelo - México 1:1
    15.03.2025 México - Parla 0:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2