Result
1:3
02/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 29
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Heranz J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 51', 1 - 2, Heranz J. ⚽,
- 64', Gallardo S. 🟥,
- 90+6', 1 - 3, Munoz I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Galapagar
40.8% | Draw
29.3% | México
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Galapagar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Galapagar's form might have worsened.México has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting México's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galapagar than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Galapagar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for México than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for México, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Galapagar - México Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(1.97) |
3.09 ↓
(3.2) |
3.04 ↓
(3.74) |
10.2%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 12).
- Recent performances by Galapagar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- México is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Galapagar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Galapagar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Galapagar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Galapagar won against México?
Galapagar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has México won against Galapagar?
México has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Galapagar - México were as follows:
22.11.2025
México
-
Galapagar
2:0
12.04.2025
Galapagar
-
México
3:1
30.11.2024
México
-
Galapagar
1:1
Latest results of Galapagar
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 82:45 | 37 | 63 |
| 2 | Trival Valderas | 33 | 18 | 5 | 10 | 48:34 | 14 | 59 |
| 3 | AD Torrejon | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 57 |
| 4 | Las Rozas | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 57:39 | 18 | 56 |
| 5 | Leganes B | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 62:31 | 31 | 54 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43:42 | 1 | 50 |
| 7 | CD Mostoles | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50:44 | 6 | 50 |
| 8 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 46 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Alcorcon B | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35:32 | 3 | 43 |
| 11 | Villaverde San Andres | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 32:40 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Galapagar | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 39:46 | -7 | 43 |
| 13 | Mexico FC | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 43:48 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | Siello | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 36:45 | -9 | 41 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 30:33 | -3 | 38 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 33 | 10 | 3 | 20 | 39:62 | -23 | 33 |
| 17 | Parla | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 29:65 | -36 | 27 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 31:71 | -40 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
