Result
1:9
11/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- World Baseball Classic - Group Stage
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Sportsnet+ |
 Czech-republic | CT sport Plus |
 Germany | Sportdigital1+ |
 Italy | Sky Sport Max |
 Japan | Netflix |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN, Nu9ve, Televisa, Tubi TV |
 Netherlands | ESPN 3 |
 Usa | FOX One, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Hits |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| 2B - double |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| 3B - triple |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Home runs |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Runs batted in |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Left on base |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Base on balls |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Strikeouts |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Stolen bases |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| At bat |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Batting average |
|---|
| 0.172 | 0.294 |
Chances of winning
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mexico's form might have worsened.Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Italy's recent form is better than expected.
Mexico - Italy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.3) |
|
2.54 ↓
(3.69) |
4.4%
(4.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
What is the prediction for Mexico - Italy?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Italy will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Italy (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 6:3.
Preview Facts
- Italy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Mexico is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 4.5:5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mexico won against Italy?
Mexico has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Italy won against Mexico?
Italy has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mexico - Italy were as follows:
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Dominican Republic (D1) | South Korea (C2) | 10 : 0 |
| 2 | Canada (A1) | USA (B2) | 3 : 5 |
| 3 | Italy (B1) | Puerto Rico (A2) | 8 : 6 |
| 4 | Japan (C1) | Venezuela (D2) | 5 : 8 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Dominican Republic (D1) | USA (B2) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Italy (B1) | Venezuela (D2) | 2 : 4 |
Final| 1 | USA (B2) | Venezuela (D2) | 2 : 3 |
