Mexico vs South Africa, IIHF World Championship IIIA – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4 OT
13/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WCH IIIA

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3132
Shooting PCT
16.13% (5/31)12.5% (4/32)
Goalkeeper Saves
2826
Saves PCT
87.5% (28/32)83.87% (26/31)
Penalties
53
PIM
106
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)66.67% (2/3)
Faceoffs Won
2829
Faceoffs %
49.1250.88
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 02:56, 1 - 0, Majul H. (G), Cuellar D. (A),
  • 13:43, 2 - 0, Majul H. (G), Cuellar D. (A), Valencia L. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 06:21, 2 - 1, van der Merwe D. (G), Bremner G. (A), Kluyts Paulus (A2)
  • 12:29, 2 - 2, Bate J. (G), Kluyts Paulus (A),
  • 13:44, 3 - 2, Chavez-Leech T. (G), Apud A. (A), Gamez R. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 00:57, 3 - 3, van Doesburgh J. (G), Magmoed D. (A), Samaai U. (A2)
  • 02:44, 3 - 4, van der Merwe D. (G), Phakathi D. (A),
  • 18:37, 4 - 4, Majul H. (G),
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 02', 5 - 4, Valencia L. (G), Majul H. (A),

Chances of winning


Mexico
56.2%
Draw
18.7%
South Africa
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 20.9% 40.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mexico's performance.
  • South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Africa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Mexico - South Africa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (2.32)
    4.88
    (4.27)
    3.64
    (2.2)
    9.6%
    (12.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 7.25
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
    Latest results of Mexico
    30.04.2025 Mexico - Singapore 18:1
    28.04.2025 Mexico - Philippines 9:1
    16.03.2024 Mexico - Turkmenistan 4:8
    14.03.2024 Kyrgyzstan - Mexico 9:4
    13.03.2024 Mexico - Luxembourg 4:5
    Latest results of South Africa
    IIHF World Championship IIIA Table
    2025
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Kyrgyzstan5500027:515
    2Turkmenistan5310120:1811
    3Turkey5300219:89
    4South Africa5101312:244
    5Bosnia & Herzegovina5100412:163
    6Luxembourg5100410:293

          Promotion ~ WCH IIB
          Relegation ~ WCH IIIB