South Africa vs Turkmenistan, IIHF World Championship IIIA

17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ice Station (Cape Town).

WCH IIIA

Match Stats


Shots on Goal
37	45
Shooting PCT
13.51% (5/37)	6.67% (3/45)
Goalkeeper Saves
42	32
Saves PCT
93.33% (42/45)	88.89% (32/36)
Penalties
5	2
PIM
10	4
Power-play Goals
0	1
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)	20% (1/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
80% (4/5)	100% (2/2)
Faceoffs Won
38	32
Faceoffs %
54.29	45.71
Empty Net Goals
1	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (3 - 1)
00:37, 1 - 0, Carelse L. (G), Samaai U. (A), van Doesburgh J. (A2)
11:51, 2 - 0, Bate J. (G), Obery A. (A),
13:37, 3 - 0, van der Merwe D. (G), Kluyts Paulus (A), Bremner G. (A2)
17:09, 3 - 1, Bayjayev D. (G), Aganiyazov A. (A), Annasaparov M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
16:06, 3 - 2, Bayjayev D. (G), Vahovskiy A. (A), Annasaparov M. (A2)
17:01, 3 - 3, Bayhanov N. (G), Vahitov S. (A), Baymyradov B. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
18:55, 4 - 3, Samaai U. (G), Verwey D. (A),
19:45, 5 - 3, Samaai U. (G), Bate J. (A),

Chances of winning

South Africa
17.5%

Draw
16.7%

Turkmenistan
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

17.1%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Africa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that South Africa's form might have worsened.

Turkmenistan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Turkmenistan's recent form is better than expected.

South Africa - Turkmenistan Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.22 ↑ (3.96)	5.47 ↑ (5.25)	1.39 ↓ (1.49)	9.6% (11.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.75

Preview Facts

In this match, Turkmenistan is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, South Africa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 3.3:5.7).

How many head-to-head matches has South Africa won against Turkmenistan?

South Africa has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Turkmenistan won against South Africa?

Turkmenistan has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between South Africa - Turkmenistan were as follows:

27.04.2025 Turkmenistan - South Africa 6:5

11.03.2024 Turkmenistan - South Africa 4:3

Latest results of South Africa

16.04.2026 Turkey - South Africa 8:1 ✺

14.04.2026 Thailand - South Africa 7:3 ✺

13.04.2026 Mexico - South Africa 5:4 ✺

27.04.2025 Turkmenistan - South Africa 6:5 ✺

25.04.2025 South Africa - Luxembourg 2:4 ✺

Latest results of Turkmenistan

16.04.2026 Turkmenistan - Mexico 4:5 ✺

14.04.2026 Turkmenistan - Turkey 4:6 ✺

13.04.2026 Turkmenistan - Bosnia and Herzegovina 3:4 ✺