MGTU Moscow vs NOVA Novokuybyshevsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
10/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Russia Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Chances of winning


MGTU Moscow
36.1%
NOVA Novokuybyshevsk
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 56.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • MGTU Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • NOVA Novokuybyshevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for MGTU Moscow than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MGTU Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NOVA Novokuybyshevsk than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NOVA Novokuybyshevsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • MGTU Moscow - NOVA Novokuybyshevsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.37)

    1.45
    (1.49)
    7.9%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 181.50
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MGTU won 0.
    • Recent form of MGTU has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • NOVA Novokuybyshevsk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • NOVA Novokuybyshevsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, MGTU has had a series of home games.
    • NOVA Novokuybyshevsk might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, MGTU won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.6:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, MGTU won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 1.4:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MGTU Moscow - NOVA Novokuybyshevsk were as follows:
    09.04.2026 MGTU Moscow - NOVA Novokuybyshevsk 2:3
    24.01.2026 NOVA Novokuybyshevsk - MGTU Moscow 3:0
    06.11.2025 MGTU Moscow - NOVA Novokuybyshevsk 1:3
    05.10.2025 MGTU Moscow - NOVA Novokuybyshevsk 0:3
    21.09.2025 MGTU Moscow - NOVA Novokuybyshevsk 2:3
    Latest results of MGTU Moscow
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Novyi UrengoyBye
    7UfaOrenburg3 : 1, 3 : 0
    8ByeBelgorod
    9Surgut regionYaroslavl3 : 1, 3 : 2
    10ByeKrasnoyarsk
    11MGTU MoscowBye
    12ByeNovokuybyshevsk
    15Gorky N. NovgorodKemerovo0 : 3, 0 : 3
    16ByeDinamo-Lo

    1/8-finals
    1Novyi UrengoyBye
    4UfaBelgorod1 : 3, 0 : 3
    5Surgut regionKrasnoyarsk12 : 15, 0 : 3, 3 : 1
    6MGTU MoscowNovokuybyshevsk13 : 15, 3 : 2, 2 : 3
    8KemerovoDinamo-Lo0 : 3, 0 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Novyi UrengoyBye
    2ByeBelgorod
    3KrasnoyarskNovokuybyshevsk3 : 1, 3 : 0
    4ByeDinamo-Lo

    Semi-finals
    1Novyi UrengoyBelgorod1 : 3, 1 : 3
    2KrasnoyarskDinamo-Lo1 : 3, 0 : 3