Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (206/289) | 78% (301/386) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (206/289) | 78% (301/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (25/69) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (43/77) | 65% (71/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Paul I. ⚽, Malango M. (A),
- 17', Paul I. 🟨,
- 19', Zarate T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Ricketts J. 🟨,
- 56', Paul I. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
- 56', Gavilanes A. ↓, Melano L. ↑,
- 57', Zarate T. ↓, Lawrence M. ↑,
- 60', Guzman C. 🟨,
- 68', Guzman C. ↓, Lara A. ↑,
- 68', Larsson A. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
- 73', Cardona N. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
- 73', Blanco S. ↓, Vazquez C. ↑,
- 77', Mercado Carrizo D. A. ↓, Rivera R. ↑,
- 78', Ivanovic L. ↓, Gallaway P. ↑,
- 78', Guediri S. ↓, Lyons M. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Bonfiglio F. ⚽, Vazquez C. (A),
- 90+5', Rivera R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monterey Bay
54.9% | Draw
25.8% | Miami
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterey Bay's form might have worsened.Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterey Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Monterey Bay - Miami Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.47) |
3.59 ↓
(4.15) |
4.77 ↓
(6.2) |
8.2%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Monterey Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Miami is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Monterey Bay is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Miami?
Monterey Bay has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Monterey Bay?
Miami has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Miami were as follows:
31.08.2024
Miami
-
Monterey Bay
1:0
24.06.2023
Monterey Bay
-
Miami
1:0
24.09.2022
Miami
-
Monterey Bay
0:0
Latest results of Monterey Bay
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
