Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (206/289) | 78% (301/386) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (206/289) | 78% (301/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (25/69) | 47% (22/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (43/77) | 65% (71/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.95 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Paul I. ⚽, Malango M. (A),
- 17', Paul I. 🟨,
- 19', Zarate T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Ricketts J. 🟨,
- 56', Paul I. ↓, Archimede L. ↑,
- 56', Gavilanes A. ↓, Melano L. ↑,
- 57', Zarate T. ↓, Lawrence M. ↑,
- 60', Guzman C. 🟨,
- 68', Guzman C. ↓, Lara A. ↑,
- 68', Larsson A. ↓, Bryant E. ↑,
- 73', Cardona N. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
- 73', Blanco S. ↓, Vazquez C. ↑,
- 77', Mercado Carrizo D. A. ↓, Rivera R. ↑,
- 78', Ivanovic L. ↓, Gallaway P. ↑,
- 78', Guediri S. ↓, Lyons M. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Bonfiglio F. ⚽, Vazquez C. (A),
- 90+5', Rivera R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monterey Bay
54.9% | Draw
25.8% | Miami
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterey Bay's form might have worsened.Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+9.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterey Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Monterey Bay - Miami Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.47) |
3.59 ↓
(4.15) |
4.77 ↓
(6.2) |
8.2%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Monterey Bay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Miami is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Monterey Bay is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Monterey Bay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Miami?
Monterey Bay has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Monterey Bay?
Miami has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Miami were as follows:
31.08.2024
Miami
-
Monterey Bay
1:0
24.06.2023
Monterey Bay
-
Miami
1:0
24.09.2022
Miami
-
Monterey Bay
0:0
Latest results of Monterey Bay
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
