Result
2:1
19/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Yaya A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (310/416) | 80% (376/472) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (310/416) | 80% (376/472) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (20/71) | 52% (31/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (38/71) | 63% (65/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.57 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 44 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Bonfiglio F. ⚽,
- 25', Hodge T. 🟨,
- 26', 2 - 0, Knutson D. ⚽, Gavilanes A. (A),
- 29', Mercado Carrizo D. A. 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Craig P. ⚽, Maldonado M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Blanco S. ↓, Melano L. ↑,
- 65', Bent B. ↓, Mitrano A. ↑,
- 65', Mercado Carrizo D. A. ↓, Cardona N. ↑,
- 68', Servania J. ↓, Burner P. ↑,
- 68', Sommersall R. ↓, Pedro Becker ↑,
- 69', Veron D. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
- 74', Da Costa R. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
- 80', Gavilanes A. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
- 82', Zarate T. 🟨,
- 85', Craig P. ↓, Al Qaq A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Miami
22.7% | Draw
26.5% | North Carolina
50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Carolina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Carolina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Miami - North Carolina Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.09 ↓
(5.12) |
3.5 ↓
(4.19) |
1.82 ↑
(1.55) |
7.9%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Miami won 1.
- Recent matches Miami is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- North Carolina is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Miami could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently North Carolina have a series of guest games.
- In this match North Carolina is a favorite.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Miami won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Miami won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against North Carolina?
Miami has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has North Carolina won against Miami?
North Carolina has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - North Carolina were as follows:
06.07.2024
North Carolina
-
Miami
4:1
25.05.2024
Miami
-
North Carolina
0:4
Latest results of North Carolina
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
