Miami vs North Carolina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Miami - North Carolina
Result
2:1
19/04/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
  • Referee: Yaya A. (Usa)
Miami - North Carolina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.58
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
75% (310/416)80% (376/472)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.311.37
Total shots
914
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
723
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
715
Passes
75% (310/416)80% (376/472)
Long passes
28% (20/71)52% (31/60)
Passes in final third
54% (38/71)63% (65/104)
Crosses
40% (2/5)15% (4/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.170.57
Fouls
157
Tackles
93% (14/15)62% (8/13)
Duels won
3951
Clearances Total
449
Interceptions
136
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.371.31
Goals prevented
0.37-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Bonfiglio F. ,
  • 25', Hodge T. 🟨,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Knutson D. , Gavilanes A. (A),
  • 29', Mercado Carrizo D. A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Craig P. , Maldonado M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Blanco S. , Melano L. ,
  • 65', Bent B. , Mitrano A. ,
  • 65', Mercado Carrizo D. A. , Cardona N. ,
  • 68', Servania J. , Burner P. ,
  • 68', Sommersall R. , Pedro Becker ,
  • 69', Veron D. , Diaz G. ,
  • 74', Da Costa R. , Perez L. ,
  • 80', Gavilanes A. , Zarate T. ,
  • 82', Zarate T. 🟨,
  • 85', Craig P. , Al Qaq A. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Miami
22.7%
Draw
26.5%
North Carolina
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 22.1% 59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8% 21.3% 57.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • North Carolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Carolina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Carolina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Miami - North Carolina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.09
    (5.12)
    3.5
    (4.19)
    1.82
    (1.55)
    7.9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Miami won 1.
    • Recent matches Miami is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • North Carolina is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Miami could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently North Carolina have a series of guest games.
    • In this match North Carolina is a favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Miami won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:17 (average 1:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Miami won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami - North Carolina were as follows:
    06.07.2024 North Carolina - Miami 4:1
    25.05.2024 Miami - North Carolina 0:4
    Latest results of Miami
    16.04.2025 Indy Eleven - Miami 1:0
    12.04.2025 San Antonio - Miami 1:2
    01.04.2025 Inter Miami II - Miami 0:1
    29.03.2025 Miami - New Mexico United 0:1
    22.03.2025 Miami - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:2
    Latest results of North Carolina
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston17122335:161938
    2Louisville City16114129:121737
    3Loudoun1582524:20426
    4North Carolina1572621:18323
    5Pittsburgh1462612:12020
    6Indy Eleven1555524:24020
    7Detroit1655620:22-220
    8Miami FC1553716:21-518
    9Birmingham1746719:24-518
    10Rhode Island1644814:18-416
    11Hartford Athletic1333715:20-512
    12Tampa Bay15321016:25-911


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio1683523:21227
    2New Mexico1581622:17525
    3FC Tulsa1474321:14725
    4Sacramento Republic1565422:121023
    5Phoenix Rising1665526:26023
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Monterey Bay1764718:21-322
    8Las Vegas Lights1653813:24-1118
    9Lexington1646617:23-618
    10Orange County SC1452718:22-417
    11Oakland Roots1652917:25-817
    12Colorado Springs1536618:22-415

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Miami - North Carolina?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    chileChileDisney+
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    mexicoMexicoDisney+
    peruPeruDisney+
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    worldWorldDisney+
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