Michael Van Gerwen vs Michael Smith – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Darts World Matchplay Michael Van Gerwen - Michael Smith
Result
17:13
20/07/2024 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: World Matchplay - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Michael Van Gerwen
54.8%
Michael Smith
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 47.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Michael Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Smith than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Michael Van Gerwen - Michael Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.71)

    2.09
    (2.09)
    6.2%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 29.50
  • What is the prediction for Michael Van Gerwen - Michael Smith?
  • Users Predictions: Michael Van Gerwen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 17:14.
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Michael Van Gerwen - Michael Smith were as follows:
    28.03.2024 Michael Smith - Michael Van Gerwen 4:6
    08.02.2024 Michael Van Gerwen - Michael Smith 6:5
    01.02.2024 Michael Van Gerwen - Michael Smith 5:6
    19.01.2024 Michael Van Gerwen - Michael Smith 7:6
    08.07.2023 Michael Smith - Michael Van Gerwen 3:7
    Latest results of Michael Van Gerwen
    Latest results of Michael Smith
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Humphries L. (1)van Veen G.8 : 10
    2Noppert D. (16)Menzies C.10 : 2
    3Aspinall N. (8)Nijman W.6 : 10
    4Wade J. (9)Cullen J.10 : 3
    5Bunting S. (4)Joyce R.10 : 8
    6Anderson G. (13)Woodhouse L.10 : 5
    7Clayton J. (5)Schindler M.10 : 7
    8Chisnall D. (12)De Decker M.7 : 10
    9Littler L. (2)Searle R.10 : 2
    10Wright P. (15)Wattimena J.8 : 10
    11Heta D. (7)Gilding A.10 : 12
    12Cross R. (10)van Duijvenbode D.8 : 10
    13van Gerwen M. (3)van Barneveld R.10 : 6
    14Smith R. (14)Rock J.5 : 10
    15Dobey C. (6)Pietreczko R.10 : 5
    16Price G. (11)Gurney D.10 : 7

    1/8-finals
    1van Veen G.Noppert D. (16)11 : 5
    2Nijman W.Wade J. (9)5 : 11
    3Bunting S. (4)Anderson G. (13)12 : 10
    4Clayton J. (5)De Decker M.11 : 8
    5Littler L. (2)Wattimena J.13 : 11
    6Gilding A.van Duijvenbode D.11 : 5
    7van Gerwen M. (3)Rock J.11 : 13
    8Dobey C. (6)Price G. (11)3 : 11

    Quarter-finals
    1van Veen G.Wade J. (9)13 : 16
    2Bunting S. (4)Clayton J. (5)7 : 16
    3Littler L. (2)Gilding A.16 : 14
    4Rock J.Price G. (11)16 : 11

    Semi-finals
    1Wade J. (9)Clayton J. (5)
    2Littler L. (2)Rock J.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2