Result
1:2
01/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 15
- Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (484/569) | 81% (298/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (484/569) | 81% (298/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (28/50) | 36% (18/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (83/125) | 67% (57/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 55% (6/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.14 | 1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Hansen K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Nielsen M. 🟨,
- 59', Andersson A. ↓, Maarup A. ↑,
- 59', Helenius N. ↓, Ross O. ↑,
- 59', Jasson A. ↓, Kaasa M. ↑,
- 60', Juul-Sandberg N. ↓, Kakeeto R. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Akale A. ⚽, Pedersen S. (A),
- 71', 1 - 2, John K. ⚽, Ross O. (A),
- 76', Pedersen S. 🟨,
- 77', Villemoes J. 🟨,
- 78', 🟨,
- 82', Hansen M. ↓, Jensen L. ↑,
- 82', Pedersen S. ↓, Bytyqi B. ↑,
- 83', Bomholt M. ↓, Borsting F. ↑,
- 85', Hapnes A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Borsting F. 🟨,
- 90+5', Hapnes A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Middelfart
22% | Draw
24% | Aalborg BK
54% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Middelfart - Aalborg BK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.19 ↑
(3.71) |
3.85 ↑
(3.63) |
1.73 ↓
(1.91) |
7.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Middelfart - Aalborg BK?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Aalborg BK will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aalborg BK will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- Middelfart is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aalborg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Middelfart may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aalborg is the team to beat.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Middelfart won against Aalborg BK?
Middelfart has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aalborg BK won against Middelfart?
Aalborg BK has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middelfart - Aalborg BK were as follows:
14.09.2025
Aalborg BK
-
Middelfart
4:0
09.11.2022
Middelfart
-
Aalborg BK
1:2
Latest results of Middelfart
Latest results of Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby ✔ | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 37:20 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Hillerod ✔ | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
| 3 | Horsens | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Hvidovre IF | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 29 |
| 5 | Esbjerg | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 29 |
| 6 | Aalborg | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Kolding IF | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 8 | B.93 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 22:30 | -8 | 22 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Hobro | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18:28 | -10 | 18 |
| 11 | Koge | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 22:34 | -12 | 18 |
| 12 | Middelfart ✔ | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18:33 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lyngby is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Hillerod is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Middelfart is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
