Middelfart vs Aalborg BK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
01/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1st Division - Round 15
  • Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.47
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
85% (484/569)81% (298/368)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.86
Total shots
117
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
238
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
2310
Passes
85% (484/569)81% (298/368)
Long passes
56% (28/50)36% (18/50)
Passes in final third
66% (83/125)67% (57/85)
Crosses
40% (8/20)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.34
Throw-ins
1410
Fouls
1023
Tackles
69% (11/16)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5834
Clearances
1029
Interceptions
413
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.862.09
Goals prevented
-1.141.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Hansen K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Nielsen M. 🟨,
  • 59', Andersson A. , Maarup A. ,
  • 59', Helenius N. , Ross O. ,
  • 59', Jasson A. , Kaasa M. ,
  • 60', Juul-Sandberg N. , Kakeeto R. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Akale A. , Pedersen S. (A),
  • 71', 1 - 2, John K. , Ross O. (A),
  • 76', Pedersen S. 🟨,
  • 77', Villemoes J. 🟨,
  • 78', 🟨,
  • 82', Hansen M. , Jensen L. ,
  • 82', Pedersen S. , Bytyqi B. ,
  • 83', Bomholt M. , Borsting F. ,
  • 85', Hapnes A. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Borsting F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Hapnes A. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Middelfart
22%
Draw
24%
Aalborg BK
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.2% 25.8% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2% 25.8% 49%

Middelfart - Aalborg BK Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.19
(3.71)
3.85
(3.63)
1.73
(1.91)
7.7%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Middelfart - Aalborg BK?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Aalborg BK will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aalborg BK will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
    • Middelfart is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Aalborg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Middelfart may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Aalborg is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middelfart - Aalborg BK were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Aalborg BK - Middelfart 4:0
    09.11.2022 Middelfart - Aalborg BK 1:2
    Latest results of Middelfart
    24.10.2025 Kolding IF - Middelfart 1:0
    18.10.2025 Middelfart - Horsens 0:3
    04.10.2025 Middelfart - Hillerød 1:2
    20.09.2025 Middelfart - Kolding IF 1:0
    Latest results of Aalborg BK
    25.10.2025 Aalborg BK - Lyngby BK 3:2
    02.10.2025 Aalborg BK - HB Køge 2:1
    27.09.2025 Lyngby BK - Aalborg BK 2:1
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyngby1685335:191629
    2Hvidovre IF1778224:18629
    3Hillerod1685325:20529
    4Esbjerg1682623:22126
    5Aalborg1674529:22725
    6Horsens1674521:14725
    7Kolding IF1664620:19122
    8B.931663720:27-721
    9Aarhus Fremad1646624:22218
    10Koge1652919:30-1117
    11Hobro1736817:28-1115
    12Middelfart16151014:30-168

          Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
          1st Division (Relegation Group: )