Result
2:1
08/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 15
- Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (273/348) | 81% (372/457) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (273/348) | 81% (372/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (19/61) | 37% (23/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (66/105) | 68% (93/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 13% (4/30) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 30% (3/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
- 17', 1 - 0, Fry D. ⚽, Brittain C. (A),
- 25', Fry D. ↓, Silvera S. ↑,
- 29', 1 - 1, Gray D. ⚽,
- 30', Ayling L. 🟨,
- 45+5', 2 - 1, Hackney H. ⚽, Morris A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
- 57', Gray D. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
- 60', Targett M. ↓, McCormick G. ↑,
- 60', Whittaker M. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
- 60', McGree R. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
- 80', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
- 80', Iwata T. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
- 86', Conway T. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
- 90+3', Beadle J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough
41% | Draw
27.9% | Birmingham City
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Middlesbrough - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.12) |
3.4
(3.4) |
3.11 ↓
(3.22) |
4.7%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 54.4% – 89.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 5.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Jones A.
(Red Card)
Kante A.
(Inactive)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Laird E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Willumsson W. T.
(Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Birmingham City?
Middlesbrough has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Middlesbrough?
Birmingham City has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Birmingham City were as follows:
12.03.2024
Birmingham City
-
Middlesbrough
0:1
21.10.2023
Middlesbrough
-
Birmingham City
1:0
02.01.2023
Birmingham City
-
Middlesbrough
1:3
05.10.2022
Middlesbrough
-
Birmingham City
1:0
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40:13 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21:10 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Preston | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20:14 | 6 | 26 |
| 5 | Hull | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:24 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | Millwall | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 17:20 | -3 | 25 |
| 7 | Ipswich | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:18 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Charlton | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 23 |
| 10 | Derby | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 23 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 21 |
| 12 | Leicester | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 21 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 21 |
| 14 | West Brom | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14:16 | -2 | 21 |
| 15 | Watford | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 20 |
| 16 | QPR | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 19 |
| 17 | Southampton | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 18 |
| 18 | Swansea | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:19 | -5 | 16 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 14 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 11:26 | -15 | 10 |
| 23 | Norwich | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12:29 | -17 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
