Middlesbrough vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough).

Championship - Round 15
Referee: Allison S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.68	1.12
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
8	13
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
3	5
Passes
78% (273/348)	81% (372/457)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68	1.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.16	1.02
Total shots
8	13
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
2	3
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
3	5
Touches in opposition box
18	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
13	9
Passes
78% (273/348)	81% (372/457)
Long passes
31% (19/61)	37% (23/63)
Passes in final third
63% (66/105)	68% (93/136)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	13% (4/30)
Expected assists (xA)
0.50	0.90
Throw-ins
18	22
Fouls
9	13
Tackles
47% (7/15)	30% (3/10)
Duels won
42	36
Clearances
28	20
Interceptions
8	7
Errors leading to shot
2	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.02	1.16
Goals prevented
0.02	-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
17', 1 - 0, Fry D. ⚽, Brittain C. (A),
25', Fry D. ↓, Silvera S. ↑,
29', 1 - 1, Gray D. ⚽,
30', Ayling L. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 1, Hackney H. ⚽, Morris A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
57', Gray D. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
60', Targett M. ↓, McCormick G. ↑,
60', Whittaker M. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
60', McGree R. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
80', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
80', Iwata T. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
86', Conway T. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
90+3', Beadle J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Middlesbrough
41%

Draw
27.9%

Birmingham City
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

27.3%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.1%

28.6%

Middlesbrough - Birmingham City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.12)	3.4 (3.4)	3.11 ↓ (3.22)	4.7% (7.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Birmingham City?

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 5.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Jones A. (Red Card) Kante A. (Inactive) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.1:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Birmingham City?

Middlesbrough has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Middlesbrough?

Birmingham City has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Birmingham City were as follows:

12.03.2024 Birmingham City - Middlesbrough 0:1

21.10.2023 Middlesbrough - Birmingham City 1:0

02.01.2023 Birmingham City - Middlesbrough 1:3

05.10.2022 Middlesbrough - Birmingham City 1:0

Latest results of Middlesbrough

04.11.2025 Leicester City - Middlesbrough 1:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Watford - Middlesbrough 3:0 ✺

25.10.2025 Middlesbrough - Wrexham 1:1 ✺

22.10.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Middlesbrough 0:1 ✺

17.10.2025 Middlesbrough - Ipswich Town 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Birmingham City

04.11.2025 Birmingham City - Millwall 4:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Birmingham City - Portsmouth 4:0 ✺

25.10.2025 Bristol City - Birmingham City 1:0 ✺

21.10.2025 Preston North End - Birmingham City 0:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Birmingham City - Hull City 2:3 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One