Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
1:3
02/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 35
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN 5
colombiaColombiaESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelONE Sport, Sport 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League, SuperSport Variety 3, SupeSport ESPN
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.601.09
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
73
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
62
Passes
76% (350/463)70% (217/310)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
0.601.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.471.72
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
05
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
59
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
03
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1925
Accurate through passes
03
Offsides
33
Free kicks
1211
Passes
76% (350/463)70% (217/310)
Long passes
36% (30/84)39% (20/51)
Passes in final third
60% (88/147)56% (60/107)
Crosses
16% (4/25)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.391.04
Throw ins
3129
Fouls
1112
Tackles
18% (2/11)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4355
Clearances
1629
Interceptions
87
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
06
xGOT faced
1.721.47
Goals prevented
-1.280.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Targett M. ⚽, Morris A. (A),
  • 26', 0 - 2, Targett M. ⚽, Hackney H. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', 1 - 2, Ducksch M. ⚽, Stansfield J. (A),
  • 58', Iwata T. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 3, Strelec D. ⚽, Ayling L. (A),
  • 61', Strelec D. ↓, Whittaker M. ↑,
  • 64', Stansfield J. ↓, Priske A. ↑,
  • 64', Roberts P. ↓, Vicente C. ↑,
  • 67', Conway T. 🟨,
  • 72', Gray D. ↓, Paik Seung-Ho ↑,
  • 72', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
  • 74', McGree R. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
  • 74', Conway T. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
  • 84', Panzo J. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
  • 85', Brynn S. 🟨,
  • 90', Malanda A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Laird E. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Hackney H. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
  • 90+4', Brittain C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
34.3%		Draw
27.1%		Middlesbrough
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 27.4% 30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4% 26.9% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birmingham City's form might have worsened.
  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Middlesbrough's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Middlesbrough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Birmingham City - Middlesbrough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.76 ↑
    (2.19)    		 3.43 ↑
    (3.4)    		 2.46 ↓
    (3.11)    		 6%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Middlesbrough?
  • Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 8 - 17%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 25 - 53.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 29.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 38.9% – 67.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Middlesbrough (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Middlesbrough (1.79) (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH 0 - Middlesbrough (1.85) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Middlesbrough (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/E Goals - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Middlesbrough (votes: 18 - 75%). Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 0.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Cochrane A. (Ankle Injury) Paik Seung-Ho (Injury) Solis Romero J. E. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Injury) Castledine L. (Injury) Edmundson G. (Injury) Jones A. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Silvera S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Middlesbrough were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Middlesbrough - Birmingham City 2:1
    12.03.2024 Birmingham City - Middlesbrough 0:1
    21.10.2023 Middlesbrough - Birmingham City 1:0
    02.01.2023 Birmingham City - Middlesbrough 1:3
    05.10.2022 Middlesbrough - Birmingham City 1:0
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    25.02.2026 Millwall - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺
    21.02.2026 Norwich City - Birmingham City 1:2 ✺
    15.02.2026 Birmingham City - Leeds United 1:2 ✺
    10.02.2026 Birmingham City - West Bromwich Albion 0:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Birmingham City - Leicester City 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    24.02.2026 Middlesbrough - Leicester City 1:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Middlesbrough - Oxford United 0:0 ✺
    16.02.2026 Coventry City - Middlesbrough 3:1 ✺
    09.02.2026 Sheffield United - Middlesbrough 1:2 ✺
    31.01.2026 Middlesbrough - Norwich City 1:0 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Millwall35188947:40762
    4Ipswich33179759:342560
    5Hull341861056:48860
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
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