Result
1:1
24/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 34
- Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (498/572) | 81% (317/393) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (498/572) | 81% (317/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (25/45) | 40% (21/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (149/187) | 67% (61/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (6/26) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 33% (6/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Okoli C. ⚽, Mukasa D. (A),
- 43', Ayling L. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, McGree R. ⚽, Conway T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Mukasa D. 🟨,
- 62', Daka P. ↓, Ayew J. ↑,
- 62', De Cordova-Reid B. ↓, Fatawu I. ↑,
- 66', Browne A. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
- 66', Whittaker M. ↓, Strelec D. ↑,
- 76', Mavididi S. ↓, Aribo J. ↑,
- 83', Ayling L. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
- 88', Mukasa D. ↓, Page L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough
62.6% | Draw
21.6% | Leicester City
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Leicester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Middlesbrough - Leicester City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.6) |
4.35 ↑
(4.2) |
5.98 ↑
(5) |
6.2%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Leicester City?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Leicester will win (votes: 6 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 61.6% – 91.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 3 - 60%). Leicester (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Middlesbrough (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Middlesbrough (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Leicester (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 2.
- Middlesbrough is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leicester is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Middlesbrough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Middlesbrough is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A.
(Injury)
Castledine L.
(Injury)
Edmundson G.
(Injury)
Jones A.
(Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Silvera S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Leicester: Choudhury H.
(Knee Injury)
Lascelles J.
(Knock)
Ramsey A.
(Injury)
Souttar H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Vestergaard J.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Leicester: James J.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Leicester City?
Middlesbrough has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leicester City won against Middlesbrough?
Leicester City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Leicester City were as follows:
04.11.2025
Leicester City
-
Middlesbrough
1:1
17.02.2024
Leicester City
-
Middlesbrough
1:2
11.11.2023
Middlesbrough
-
Leicester City
1:0
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Leicester City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:34 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Hull | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
